Text Products for FWS Issued by LMK

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS73 KLMK 231013
FWSLMK

Spot Forecast for Harding Flats...Hoosier National Forest
National Weather Service Louisville KY
613 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Southwest winds will increase after sunrise
ahead of an approaching cold front. 10-meter gusts up to
25-35 mph will be possible late this morning through the
afternoon. Healthy transport winds and good mixing will result in
excellent smoke dispersal during this afternoon. Light rain is
expected to start spreading into the region from the northwest
after 4pm CDT, and should end by 1am CDT. Rainfall totals around
0.15-0.25 inches will be possible this evening.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 73.
RH..................Min 30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 23 mph increasing to 25 to 32
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (121400
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................14 early in the morning increasing to 126 in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........14  4   22  33  38  40  52  60  68  59
Weather cov.....                                    SCH
Weather type....                                    RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............46  50  57  61  64  66  69  71  72  72
RH..............60  56  49  44  40  36  32  32  33  34
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.8   13  15  15  17  16  18  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.1 1.9 2.8 3.7 4.4 5.1 5.2 5.6 5.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.14  16  20  23  25  26  28  30  32  32
LVORI...........2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............14  22  47  71  90  104 115 126 104 103
SDspl kt-ft/10006   15  33  57  81  102 121 136 158 155

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the evening, then rain showers
                    likely late in the evening. Chance of rain
                    showers overnight.
Temperature.........Min 51.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    around 17 mph shifting to the west around 5
                    mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 23 to 29 mph becoming west 10 to 17
                    mph early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (107000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3500 knot-ft) in the
                    late evening and overnight.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................82 early in the evening decreasing to 7 late in
                    the night.

TIME (CDT)      5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
Sky (%).........69  90  88  88  93  93  91  75  59  57  43  50
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............71  69  67  64  61  58  57  56  55  54  53  52
RH..............36  40  45  52  67  80  83  86  93  93  93  92
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  NW  NW  W   SW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  10  7   6   6   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.17  15  12  9   9   7   7   7   7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 2.4 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.29  23  17  14  12  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LVORI...........1   1   2   2   3   4   4   5   6   6   6   6
ADI.............82  31  15  12  10  7   7   7   7   7   7   7
SDspl kt-ft/1000107 48  12  4   4   5   4   4   4   5   5   6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Temperature.........Max 69.
RH..................Min 39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (45200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................6 early in the morning increasing to 60 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........56  53  47  46  46  45  40  35  30  22  15  7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  52  53  54  55  57  60  63  66  68  69  69
RH..............93  89  83  83  80  75  64  56  50  45  41  39
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NW  NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.6   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.6 3.3 4.0 4.6 5.0 4.9
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.9   9   8   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   10  10
LVORI...........6   5   4   4   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............6   9   8   9   14  20  27  38  44  50  60  59
SDspl kt-ft/10005   4   4   6   10  14  18  27  32  37  45  44

$$
Forecaster...13
Requested by...Jeremy Kolaks
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411903.0/LMK
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jeremy.kolaks@usda.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
