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000
FXUS62 KMFL 171103
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
703 AM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 200 AM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Conditions across South Florida will remain dry and seasonable
through the short term as surface high pressure and stout upper-level
ridging prevail over the region. Breezy easterly winds along the
periphery of the surface high - currently located over the western
Atlantic - will continue to advect low-level moisture over the area
which could result in a few cumulus clouds developing during peak
daytime heating. However, strong subsidence from ridging aloft will
help keep rain changes to a minimum.

A warming trend will continue through the period given the prevailing
synoptic pattern. Temperatures today and tomorrow could reach
the upper 80s or even 90 across southwest FL, while East Coast
temps range from the low-mid 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 200 AM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Upper level ridging will prevail across the Gulf of Mexico and
the Florida peninsula through much of the extended period,
allowing for generally dry and warm conditions to continue.
Near the surface, high pressure will remain over the western Atlantic
through the end of the work week, allowing for continued easterly
flow across the area.

Temperatures will continue to warm through the period, with highs
reaching the lower 90s across much of the interior near the end
of the work week, and approaching the mid 90s during the weekend.
Conditions along the East Coast may remain slightly cooler thanks
to onshore flow, with highs in the mid to upper 80s through
much of the period.

Chances for showers and thunderstorms could return early next
week as a frontal boundary approaches from the southeast US.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 653 AM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

VFR at all sites for the 12Z TAF period. The easterly winds will
continue to strengthen, up to 10-15 KT, moving further into the
late morning and afternoon. Gusts will reach up to 20-25 KT in
the early afternoon. A brief westerly Gulf breeze is expected at
KAPF from 20Z until around 00Z. Overnight, easterly winds will
weaken to under 10 KT at all TAF sites.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 200 AM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

A moderate to fresh easterly wind flow will continue across
the local waters today as high pressure remains in place over the
Western Atlantic. These winds will slowly subside and become
southeasterly starting on Thursday as the surface high shifts
eastward. Seas across the Atlantic waters will range from 2 to 4
feet through the middle of the week while seas across the Gulf
waters remain at 2 feet or less.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 200 AM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

The risk of rip currents along the Atlantic Coast will remain
high on Wednesday as moderate easterly flow prevails.
Conditions will begin to improve tonight as winds become lighter.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            83  70  83  71 /   0   0   0   0
West Kendall     83  67  85  68 /   0   0   0   0
Opa-Locka        83  69  85  70 /   0   0   0   0
Homestead        83  69  83  70 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  83  70  82  70 /   0   0   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  81  70  82  70 /   0   0   0   0
Pembroke Pines   83  69  85  70 /   0   0   0   0
West Palm Beach  82  67  83  67 /   0   0   0   0
Boca Raton       82  69  83  68 /   0   0   0   0
Naples           87  66  85  69 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ATV
LONG TERM....ATV
AVIATION...Simmons