Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
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105 FXUS62 KMFL 290532 AFDMFL Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 132 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Monday) Issued at 1218 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024 The influence of high pressure remains over South Florida as we enter the work week with surface high pressure remaining situated in the Western Atlantic. This surface high will slowly weaken as low pressure over the central United States dissolves and the combination of that with a weakening surface high will allow windy conditions to slowly subside. Conditions will remain gusty today into tonight and breezy into Monday as well. Other than that, mostly dry weather will continue with isolated Atlantic showers that could overspread the peninsula during peak heating with assistance from sea breezes that could develop in the afternoons. Temperatures will be mostly in the low to mid 80s on Monday, though portions of Southwest Florida could see temperatures rise into the upper 80s. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 203 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024 Long term begins with mid level ridging over the eastern seaboard gradually migrating into the western Atlantic, while persisting sfc high pressure keeping a relatively stable air mass over Soflo through at least the middle of the work week. As the mid level ridge moves further away from the region, pressure gradients across the area will relax and allow for the breezy periods to subside. Meanwhile, low-lvl winds across SoFlo gradually veer SE by this time, allowing for a very modest moisture advection to briefly raise chances of rain into the teens to low 20s, mainly over the east coast and interior areas. But showers in general will remain very limited through the long term as relatively dry/stable air stays in place. Afternoon high temperatures through Wednesday are expected to reach the low-mid 80s near the coasts, and upper 80s to around 90 inland. Then by the end of the work week, the mid level ridge strengthens and drives high temperatures into the upper 80s near the coasts and low 90s inland. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 129 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024 Mainly VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period. A gusty easterly wind flow will continue during the overnight hours and through the day on Monday. Isolated shower activity is possible across the east coast terminals mainly through Monday morning. These showers could produce brief periods of MVFR as they pass through. At KAPF, easterly winds overnight into Monday morning may become more southerly in the afternoon as a Gulf breeze tries to develop. && .MARINE... Issued at 1218 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024 Hazardous marine conditions will begin to subside this evening into Monday. Calmer conditions should return by the middle of this week. && .BEACHES... Issued at 1218 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024 A high risk for rip currents continues along the Atlantic coast as gusty onshore winds remain in place on Sunday and into Monday. These gusty winds will continue to assist in the potential formation of larger waves in the surf zone up to 7-8 ft, but this risk should lessen by Sunday evening. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Miami 82 72 83 73 / 20 20 40 20 West Kendall 83 71 84 69 / 20 20 40 20 Opa-Locka 83 72 83 71 / 20 20 40 20 Homestead 81 71 82 71 / 20 20 40 20 Fort Lauderdale 81 73 82 72 / 20 20 40 20 N Ft Lauderdale 81 72 82 71 / 20 20 40 20 Pembroke Pines 82 72 83 71 / 20 20 40 20 West Palm Beach 81 69 82 69 / 20 20 40 20 Boca Raton 80 72 81 71 / 20 20 40 20 Naples 85 68 85 70 / 10 10 30 10 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday evening for FLZ168-172-173. AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for AMZ630. Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for AMZ650-651- 670-671. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for GMZ656-657- 676. && $$ SHORT TERM...RAG LONG TERM....AR AVIATION...CWC