Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
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FNUS73 KMPX 061032
FWSMPX
Spot Forecast for Leach impact area...Mn DMA
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
532 AM CDT Mon May 6 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Southeast winds will increase through the morning, with gusts
above 20 mph by 10 AM increasing to over 30 mph by mid-afternoon.
Dew points will also be increasing as the southeast wind bring
higher moisture into the area, but min RH values could still dip
below 40% this afternoon.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Temperature.........59 at ignition...Max 70.
RH..................62 percent at ignition...Min 39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 15 mph at
ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 15 to 20
mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /54600 knot-ft/ at ignition.
Max...excellent /113400 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4500 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 24 to 29 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
Sky cover.......PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............59 62 64 67 68 69 70 69 69 68 65 63
RH..............62 54 48 43 42 39 39 40 41 43 45 46
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..15 17 18 18 18 18 20 20 18 20 20 18
20 FT wind gust.23 26 28 28 28 28 30 30 28 30 30 28
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 3.6 4.0 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.1 3.7 1.6 1.1 1.0
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.24 26 26 26 28 28 29 29 29 24 22 22
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms overnight.
Temperature.........Min 53.
RH..................Max 95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 18 to 22 mph with gusts to
around 33 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (96000 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to fair (16500 knot-ft) late in the
night.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 22 to 29 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then
rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 62.
RH..................Min 66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 21 mph shifting to the
south around 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms in the morning and early
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (20400 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (60500 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 23 mph shifting to the south
around 14 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
$$
Forecaster...Ahasic
Requested by...Jason Linkert RxB2
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413241.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Jason.d.linkert.nfg@army.mil