Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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FNUS71 KRLX 232127
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Spot Forecast for Greenbrier Admin Pile Burn...USFS
National Weather Service Charleston WV
527 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Warm and breezy conditions are expected today in advance of cold
frontal passage tonight.

Light rain arrives tonight, and then continues into  early
Wednesday. Drier weather returns from west to east on Wednesday,
and then persists until another system approaches late on Friday
into the weekend.

Temperatures will remain seasonably cool for early spring through
much of the work week, then a warming trend takes hold beginning on
Friday ahead of the next system.


.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the afternoon, then shifting to the west
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 3 mph shifting to the west around
                    2 mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................12 to 22.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45  40  35  34  34  35  37  38
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............45  49  52  55  58  59  59  59
RH..............70  63  56  49  44  42  42  44
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.4   5   5   6   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 3.5 4.3 5.1 5.5 5.7 5.6 5.1
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   SW  SW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
LVORI...........3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............12  16  19  22  22  22  15  13
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    north early in the evening, then becoming light
                    early in the evening.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 2 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 3 to 5 mph early in the evening.
LVORI...............3 early in the evening.
ADI.................1 to 2 early in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth early in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........35  33  30  28  27  25  29  33  37  39  42  44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............57  55  53  49  46  44  43  42  40  40  40  39
RH..............47  51  57  66  73  79  82  86  89  89  89  92
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   E   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind spd..5   5   3   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind gust.6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...4.1 2.8 1.3 M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind dir.NW  NE  E   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind spd.2   3   5   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
LVORI...........2   2   3   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
ADI.............1   2   2   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Haines index....4   4   4   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height.......MISSING.
Transport winds.....
LVORI...............MISSING.
ADI.................MISSING.
Haines Index........MISSING.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44  45  45  48  50  53  51  49  47  52  58  63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............40  40  41  44  47  50  52  54  57  57  57  58
RH..............89  89  89  82  79  74  69  66  59  59  59  55
20 FT wind dir..M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind spd..M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   10  13  16  16  18  18  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind dir.M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind spd.M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
LVORI...........M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
ADI.............M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Haines index....M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

$$
Forecaster...SL
Requested by...Colleen Urffer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412015.0/RLX
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL colleen.urffer@usda.gov


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