Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 281728
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1228 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 953 AM GMT Thu Mar 28 2024

As of 9:45 AM today, temperatures are gradually rising into the
mid-40s under sunny skies. Later this afternoon, temperature
maximums will approach the lower 70s. With weather and observed
trends continuing as anticipated, forecast grid adjustments were
not necessary at this time. /16/

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Thursday through Friday)
Issued at 337 AM GMT Thu Mar 28 2024

Another chilly start with upper 30s and low to mid 40s. High
pressure is all around us with a 1024mb center in Arkadelphia.
Lots of our sites calm as a result or a few still N hanging in
there, but we will be NE 5 mph or light and variable this morning
and then becoming S/SE 5 mph in the afternoon, in the wake of the
departing high pressure area. For our Texas counties first, and
then across I-49 in the late day E/SE winds will slowly gain
speed. We will be very close to late March averages all things
considered in the upper 60s and lower 70s for our area highs.
Skies remain fair today and tonight with slightly warmer readings
at this time tomorrow. Low to mid 40s east of I-49 and lower 50s
to the west early tomorrow. And then highs on Friday will make a
jump close to 80 in a few spots with widespread mid to upper 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 337 AM GMT Thu Mar 28 2024

The winds will pick up a bit for Friday and Saturday as the Gulf
opens up on the back side of this air mass which will be over
Alabama in 24 hrs. Then with brisk southerly winds and partly
cloudy skies, our weekend still looks to see lower 80s for highs
and 60s for lows by Easter Sunday morning, (btw, sunrise is at
7:05 a.m. CDT). We will even see lows in the upper 60s early next
week and mid 80s with SW winds on Monday.

The clouds will increase quickly, and our next chance for
rainfall will be Monday night for the most part as the cold front
rolls in early on April fools day. The WPC expectation for our
amounts is around a half inch give or take for an average. Our
temps will trend back down, but not quite as chilly as this
current air mass. However, this next air mass is large and will
hang around all week, so still looking for that SW flow
potentially hampering our big sun show early week after next, and
really for a lot more real estate for the path across many of our
surrounding states. /24/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024

Surface ridge across the region to maintain light winds this
evening into the overnight hours. Winds to become southeast near
daybreak Friday as surface high begins to shift east. Wind speeds
are forecast to become south and increase to 10 to 15 mph with
higher gusts by 29/18Z. The higher wind speeds will be across the
East Texas terminals. Otherwise, VFR conditions to prevail
areawide. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  51  78  58  82 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  43  75  54  81 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  44  75  52  78 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  48  77  55  80 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  45  75  54  79 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  52  77  58  80 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  51  77  57  81 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  50  78  57  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...05


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