366
FXUS64 KSJT 290507
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1207 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 113 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

A quiet weather pattern is expected through the next 24 hours, with
temperatures above seasonal normals. Overnight low temperatures will
be in the mid to upper 50s. Stratus development is expected across
the Hill Country, with some of this cloud cover approaching our
southeast counties by daybreak. Any cloud cover will quickly
dissipate by mid morning. Highs on Monday will be above seasonal
normals, in the mid 80s to near 90. Expect generally dry conditions

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 149 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

A somewhat zonal flow will prevail across the southern tier of the
country Monday but low to mid level moisture is expected to
increase across southern portions of the CWA Mon night. This will
provide more humid conditions across west central Texas Tuesday
with southerly winds prevailing. A weak shortwave trough will move
across northwest Texas Tues night and this will provide isolated
strong to severe thunderstorms across extreme northern portions of
the CWA where SPC has a marginal risk of severe weather for day 3
across northern portions of Haskell and Throckmorton counties. An
unsettled weather pattern is expected to continue Wednesday into
Thursday with a 500mb trough across the western United States
Wednesday moving eastward across the Rockies on Thursday. The
dryline across west Texas will provide a focus for showers and
thunderstorms to develop and move eastward into portions of west
central Texas Wed night through Thursday night. A weak cold front
is expected to move through northwest Texas Thurs night and
through our CWA Friday morning. The ECMWF progs some elevated
convection developing Fri night so will mention a slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms mainly for early Friday morning and
late Fri night. The global models are currently showing better
rain chances for the weekend as low to mid level moisture
increases across most of the state of Texas Saturday into Sunday
and a shortwave upper level trough moves across the southern
plains Sat night into Sunday. This will provide a chance of
showers and thunderstorms across west central Texas through the

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1205 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

VFR conditions currently present across the area with light and
variable winds. Scattered low clouds are expected to build west
overnight, primarily impacting the KJCT and KBBD terminals. Have
included some TEMPO groups to account for some uncertainty in
ceiling coverage and potential visibility reductions. Any drops in
ceilings/visibilities will lift to VFR by mid morning with VFR
conditions expected for the rest of the afternoon. Winds will
generally be out of the south/southwest this afternoon at less
than 10 kts before backing to the southeast and picking up at some
sites late in the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     87  62  90  67 /   0   0  10  10
San Angelo  90  62  92  66 /   0   0   0  10
Junction    91  65  93  68 /   0   0   0  10
Brownwood   86  62  87  67 /   0   0   0  10
Sweetwater  87  63  91  66 /   0   0  10  10
Ozona       88  64  88  68 /   0   0   0  10
Brady       86  63  88  68 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Daniels
LONG TERM....61
AVIATION...50