Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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693
FNUS53 KGRR 040759
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
359 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

...Showers and storms come through tonight...

.DISCUSSION...
We will have a sunny and mild day after fog and low clouds from
this morning break up. Clouds will increase then this evening, with
showers and a few storms arriving over the area from West to East
starting around midnight. This rain will then move out early Sunday
morning, and skies will clear in the afternoon. Monday looks dry and
mild.

MIZ037>039-043>045-042015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
359 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Patchy fog until
                    10 AM.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent near Lake Michigan and 43-48
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 23
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 3200-3700 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 2900-3400 ft AGL increasing to
                    5100-5600 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....520-910 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 11 PM. Chance of thunderstorms
                    until 5 AM. Rain showers likely after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 7 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 9 mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....150-220 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.19 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....56-61 near Lake Michigan and 64-69 Inland.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler near Lake Michigan and 9
                    degrees cooler Inland.
Min humidity........51-56 percent near Lake Michigan and 37-42
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged near Lake Michigan and 6 percent
                    drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4100-4600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....530-540 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-042015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
359 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 11 AM.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....310-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 AM. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Rain showers likely after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 7 mph shifting to the
                    west around 9 mph overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the west
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....90-240 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....560-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-042015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
359 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM.
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4900-5400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the south
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....420-660 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 11 PM. Chance of
                    thunderstorms. Rain showers likely after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 9 mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the northwest
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....140-210 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.22 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4000-4500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....450-490 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-042015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
359 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog until
                    10 AM. Slight chance of rain showers after 2
                    PM. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph shifting to the south in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....380-630 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 AM. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers likely after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 8 mph shifting to the west
                    overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the west
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....110-180 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.14 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 11 AM, then
                    mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-590 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-042015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
359 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM.
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....420-560 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 11 PM until 2 AM. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 11 PM. Rain showers likely
                    after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 8 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 7 mph overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the west
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100-150 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.11 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....430-560 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds
5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds 6 to 11 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely until midday, then showers
and a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower
70s. Southeast winds 13 to 18 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs
in the mid 70s. Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 50s.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers overnight. Lows
in the upper 40s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
60s.

$$