539
FNUS28 KWNS 042036
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0334 PM CDT Sat May 04 2024

Valid 061200Z - 121200Z

An active fire weather pattern remains on track through at least
midweek across the southern Rockies extending eastward into the
southern High Plains.

... Monday/Day 3 to Wednesday Day 5: New Mexico into adjacent parts
of Texas and Colorado ...

A strong, negatively tilted trough will eject into the Plains during
the day on Monday. In its wake, strong mid-level flow will exist
across New Mexico into the central Plains. The orientation of this
flow will result in strong downslope flow across the region. The
result will be surface winds approaching 30 mph in the presence of
relative humidity beneath 15 percent. Extremely critical
meteorological conditions will be possible across northeast New
Mexico; fuel receptiveness will be the limiting factor for fire
potential.

By Tuesday into Wednesday, strong westerly mid-level flow will
persist atop a dry boundary layer. This will continue the downslope
flow, with winds around 20 mph. Relative Humidity will continue to
fall into the single digits and teens resulting in continued fire
weather concerns.

Toward the latter half of the week, the mid-level flow will relax a
bit. Elevated fire weather conditions will remain possible, but
confidence in critical conditions being met is less than in previous
days. Trends will need to monitored as mesoscale details come more
into focus.

..Marsh.. 05/04/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$