Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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420
WUUS01 KWNS 120559
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1257 AM CDT SUN MAY 12 2024

VALID TIME 121200Z - 131200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   34700178 35190136 35380094 35270039 35010014 34300009
       33429971 33049905 32559808 32339457 32179205 31759084
       31279043 30739033 30309048 30119061 30029085 29499382
       28989573 29379982 31400112 32200151 34700178
0.05   31029703 31429672 31379449 31129197 30789186 30499181
       30389224 30349242 30259273 30239291 29829555 29719650
       30079705 30509736 31029703
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   42608611 42598755 43138909 43618990 44839087 46199073
       46448760 46008585 45428479 44578378 43688422 42608611
0.05   34250190 35800207 39630193 39740074 39409991 37339830
       36069798 33999801 33399761 32919613 32889370 32889277
       32429161 32159102 32009061 31839012 31558942 30578927
       30148944 30059020 29999079 29849176 29739255 29489383
       28979586 29089725 29249885 29319990 30650072 31580130
       32200153 32430159 34250190
0.15   31779643 31899535 31969379 31909205 30489179 30239273
       30019402 29809559 29699649 30059706 30479739 30849718
       31779643
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   32430162 34440192 35770210 39640192 39740074 39409994
       38669936 37349830 36099799 35079800 34019802 33389763
       32909614 32879276 32429163 31738984 31208833 30688845
       30208881 30118961 30009078 29489381 28959585 29319991
       31600133 32430162
0.05   42578613 42628765 43138907 43608992 44849088 46219076
       46458760 46028586 45418478 44558377 43688421 42578613
0.15   31929376 31899205 30499179 30249279 30169324 30079386
       29819554 29709648 30109708 30499738 30799720 31799641
       31909543 31929376
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   30849718 31799641 31969379 31909205 30499179 30239273
       30019402 29699649 30059706 30479739 30849718
MRGL   39630193 39740074 39409991 37349830 36069798 33999801
       33399761 32919613 32889277 31208833 30688845 30208881
       29999079 29489381 28959585 29319991 31600133 32430162
       35770210 39630193
MRGL   46219076 46458760 46028586 45428479 44558377 43688421
       42578613 42598755 43138909 43608992 44849088 46219076
TSTM   44577818 42877871 42017946 41408284 40308882 39399003
       37399115 36299074 35408957 34288848 32448756 30848762
       29618776 99999999 28810153 30170135 31420162 34060409
       34240541 34390700 36440872 38370931 39171097 39921190
       40821199 42301211 43241113 44191054 45371025 46271109
       47561371 49721542 99999999 49660660 48230606 46870397
       46090192 45440108 44659920 44959675 45339357 47008970
       48248664 99999999 39251981 37181820 36001782 35661832
       36241930 38632077 39182060 39251981 99999999 41942282
       43492149 44141974 43661811 42591780 41661887 40992079
       40852221 41942282

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE
TPL 15 S CRS 35 S SHV 40 NNE ESF 25 NNE LFT 30 ENE LCH BPT 60 S CLL
40 ESE AUS 20 ENE AUS 25 SSE TPL.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW
GLD 35 SSW MCK HLC 15 ENE P28 20 S END 30 E SPS 40 NNW FTW 40 E DAL
25 S ELD 35 N MOB 10 W MOB 20 SE GPT 30 NNW HUM 35 SSE BPT 25 WSW
LBX 45 W HDO 45 SSE BGS 15 NNW BGS 30 SE DHT 20 NNW GLD.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE
ASX MQT 60 WNW PLN 10 S PLN 20 WNW OSC 10 NNW MBS 35 NNE BEH 20 SE
RAC 10 E MSN 30 SE VOK 30 E EAU 25 SSE ASX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 NNW ROC BUF 15 SW
JHW 45 NNW MFD 15 SSE BMI 35 N ALN 45 WSW FAM 15 NE ARG 35 NE MEM 15
E TUP 35 W SEM 35 NW PNS 70 SSW PNS ...CONT... 55 SW DRT 50 E 6R6 50
SE MAF 50 WSW CVS 20 ENE 4CR 25 NNW ONM 35 SW FMN 35 SE CNY 35 SSW
PUC 50 NE U24 SLC 15 NE MLD 30 SW JAC 40 NNE JAC 25 SSE LVM 35 N BZN
45 NNE MSO 110 NNW GPI ...CONT... 100 N GGW 25 WNW OLF 40 NNE BHK 15
NE Y22 30 W MBG 50 WNW HON 20 E ATY 30 ESE STC 40 NNE IWD 115 NE CMX
...CONT... 15 S RNO 15 SE BIH 25 NNW NID 35 W NID 45 SSE FAT 40 E
SAC 40 WNW TVL 15 S RNO ...CONT... 30 S MFR 55 SSW RDM 55 NW BNO 40
E BNO REO 75 NW WMC 35 SSW AAT 35 S MHS 30 S MFR.