388
FNUS75 KFGZ 141158
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Wallow West Unit 4...USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
458 AM MST Tue May 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MST on May 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Isolated to scattered afternoon showers and a
few h-based thunderstorms today and Wednesday. Greatest precipitations
chances are on Wednesday. Light winds at night becoming southwest to
Northwest winds at 5-15 mph gusting 20-25 mph each afternoon, with
locally higher gusts near storms. Warm temperatures with minimum RH
around 20% each day.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Slight chance of rain showers
                    through the day. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....66 to 69.
Min humidity........18 to 21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1612.
Mixing height.......12600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 knots shifting to the south in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    shifting to the southwest around 15 knots late
                    in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of evening showers.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....38 to 41.
Max humidity........58 to 62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    north overnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......2.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots shifting to the north
                    overnight.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Slight chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....66 to 69.
Min humidity........18 to 21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    west in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1552.
Mixing height.......12900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the
                    southwest in the late morning and early
                    afternoon, then shifting to the west around 15
                    knots late in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...STUBBLEFIELD
Requested by...Christina Brannon
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413640.3/FGZ
.DELDT 05/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL christina.brannon@usda.gov