Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
061
FNUS53 KGRR 071928
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
328 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
...Storms Tonight...
.DISCUSSION...Strong to severe storms are expected this
afternoon and evening across the region, especially south
of I-96. Locally heavy rainfall is also possible.
Drier weather will occur Wednesday with more rain Wednesday
night and Thursday.
MIZ037>039-043>045-080815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
328 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 11 PM, then
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Rain showers
likely until 2 AM. Chance of thunderstorms.
Slight chance of rain showers after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....45-50.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the west
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....120-130 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.33 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent near Lake Michigan and 42-47
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......17 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 9
percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
4200-4700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....970-1170 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 AM, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....42-47.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
1600-2100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph increasing to east
around 25 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....290-480 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.36 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....55-60.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3500-4000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....710-760 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.12-0.34 in.
$$
MIZ040-046-080815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
328 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 11 PM, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Rain showers
likely until 2 AM. Chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of rain showers after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....48-53.
24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the west
around 11 mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the west
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....130-150 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.34 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....69-74.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1320-1460 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 11 PM, then
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 AM, then
partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....42-47.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph increasing to east
around 25 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....340-450 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.18 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....670-720 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.16-0.30 in.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-080815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
328 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....48-53.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......36 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....72-77.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 9 mph shifting to the
northwest around 10 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
5500-6000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....540-630 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 11 PM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2 AM, then rain showers likely.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph increasing to east
around 25 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....280-480 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.35 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
likely until 2 PM, then a chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....57-62.
24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 14 to 19 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-630 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.16 in.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-080815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
328 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms until 11 PM. Chance of rain
showers until 12 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.20 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 73.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1530 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....340-480 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.31 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
likely until 2 PM, then a chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 14 to 19 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....480-550 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.13-0.25 in.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-080815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
328 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 10 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.15 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....74-79.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6400-6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1440-1580 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 11 PM, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2 AM, then rain showers likely.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....280-330 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.18 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
24 hr trend......19 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....380-410 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.11-0.26 in.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. North winds 6 to 11 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 9 to
14 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 60.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. West winds
6 to 11 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 11 to
16 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs
in the lower 70s.
$$