Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Miami FL
345 PM EDT Wed Mar 20 2024

...Heavy Rainfall Possible Late Week Into Early This Weekend...

A surface low is forecast to develop over the Gulf of Mexico
sometime on Friday and move eastward across portions of the
Florida Peninsula Friday night into Saturday morning. This will
allow for a warm front to move through South Florida on Friday
afternoon into Friday evening before a cold front moves southward
through the area Saturday morning. This will lead to couple of
rounds of rains and thunderstorms over South Florida during this
time frame.

The forecast soundings are also showing that the precipitable
water values will be around 1.6 to 1.8 inches which is above the
90th percentile and near the maximum values for this time of year.
This means that heavy rainfall is also possible with the rounds
of showers and thunderstorms. At this time it looks rainfall
totals of 3 to 5 inches are possible with locally higher amounts
possible with any training of thunderstorms.

The ground across South Florida is somewhat dry due to the lack
of rainfall the last couple of weeks. However, with the locally
heavy rainfall there could be some isolated areas of flooding with
the showers and thunderstorms, especially where the thunderstorms
train over the same area.

$$

Baxter
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