Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
379
FNUS55 KPSR 011017
FWFPSR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central
Arizona and Southeast California
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
317 AM MST Wed May 1 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Expect warm and dry weather to persist through the end of this
week with daily highs around 3-5 degree above average. Winds
will favor light and diurnal tendencies today. However, there
will be increased breeziness Thursday into Friday with gusts up
to 15-25 mph possible region-wide. Afternoon min RHs will bottom
out around 8-15%, while overnight recoveries remain in the poor to
fair category between 25-50%.

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-012230-
West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix
Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/
Northwest and North-Central Pinal County-
Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
317 AM MST Wed May 1 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................84-91.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................13-19 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9800 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 11 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Clear.
* Min Temperature.................57-67.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................39-62 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 5 to 15 mph in the evening
  becoming light and variable after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................86-92.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................13-18 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming southwest in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......10100 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 7 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 59-69. Highs 87-93. South winds 10 to
20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59-69. Highs 89-96. South winds
10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows 52-64. Highs 78-88.
Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 52-62. Highs 80-86.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 55-65. Highs 84-91.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-012230-
Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ-
Lower Colorado River Valley CA-
317 AM MST Wed May 1 2024 /317 AM PDT Wed May 1 2024/

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................87-92.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................13-21 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........7200 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 8 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Fair.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Clear.
* Min Temperature.................58-63.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................47-75 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................11 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 10 to 20 mph in the
  evening becoming northeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................90-95.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................11-20 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming south 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........7900 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 9 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Good.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 59-64. Highs 90-95. South winds 10 to
20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59-64. Highs 92-97. South winds
10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Mostly clear. Lows 54-63. Highs 79-85.
West winds 15 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54-59. Highs 83-88.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 56-61. Highs 87-92.

$$

AZZ133-012230-
Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills-
Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/
CAZ-
317 AM MST Wed May 1 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................73-86.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................13-18 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning
  becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Clear.
* Min Temperature.................45-60.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................40-53 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................73-87.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................13-18 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning
  becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 46-62. Highs 74-89. Southwest winds 10 to
20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 47-62. Highs 77-91. South winds
10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows 44-62. Highs 72-86.
Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 43-57. Highs 67-81.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 43-59. Highs 72-86.

$$

CAZ232-012230-
Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County-
317 AM PDT Wed May 1 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................84-93.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................11-18 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Clear.
* Min Temperature.................60-66.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................24-75 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph in the evening
  becoming northeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................86-95.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................9-15 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming southwest in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 61-67. Highs 86-95. South winds 10 to
20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58-67. Highs 86-96. Southwest
winds 15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.SUNDAY...Not as warm. Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows 52-65. Highs
71-80. West winds 20 to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 52-62. Highs 78-87.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 56-63. Highs 82-91.

$$

CAZ230-012230-
Joshua Tree National Park-
317 AM PDT Wed May 1 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................75-88.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................10-15 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning
  becoming northwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Clear.
* Min Temperature.................51-62.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................21-27 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................16 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 5 to 15 mph in the evening
  becoming light and variable after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................76-89.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................9-13 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph in the morning
  becoming south in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 52-64. Highs 75-89. Southwest winds 10 to
20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 46-64. Highs 75-91. Southwest
winds 15 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Partly cloudy. Lows 41-60. Highs 59-76. West
winds 15 to 25 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 41-57. Highs 67-82.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 46-59. Highs 72-87.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Wednesday May 8th through Friday May 10th:
Near normal temperatures and near median precipitation.