Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS51 KCTP 212146
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
546 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...
A warm front will move northeast into Pennsylvania tonight and Tuesday,
as a weak area of low pressure tracks north of the state. Numerous
showers and scattered thunderstorms will occur late tonight and Tuesday,
as the warm front lifts northeast across the Commonwealth. A few showers
and storms could linger into early Wednesday across the southern tier
counties of Pennsylvania.

A several day string of dry weather is expected to begin Wednesday
and last right into Saturday.

PAZ004>006-010-011-220930-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
546 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy       Cloudy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms         None
Chance Precip (%)                 100          100           40            0
Temp (24h trend)              55 (+7)      73 (+2)           53           74
RH % (24h trend)              96 (-4)     63 (+37)          100           43
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       Lgt/Var                     NW  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          Lgt/Var        SW  6      Lgt/Var        NW  7
Precip Amount                    0.57         0.55         0.06         0.00
Precip Duration                     5            9            3
Precip Begin                    10 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            420         4170         1070         6220
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE  8         W 13         W 10         N 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 320        62850         5040        87150
Dispersion                          1            5            3            5
DSI                                 0            0            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 41 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 71 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-220930-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
546 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy       Cloudy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms         None
Chance Precip (%)                 100          100           50            0
Temp (24h trend)              56 (+5)      73 (-1)           56           76
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)     64 (+36)          100           43
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       Lgt/Var                     NW  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          Lgt/Var        SW  6        SW  5        NW  7
Precip Amount                    0.33         0.48         0.09         0.00
Precip Duration                     4            9            3
Precip Begin                    11 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            620         3810          880         6100
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE  8        SW 13         W 10         N 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                2140        48790          230        77500
Dispersion                          2            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            0            2
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
74 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-220930-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
546 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy       Cloudy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  90          100           50           20
Temp (24h trend)              59 (+5)       73 (0)           58           74
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)     64 (+19)          100           53
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       Lgt/Var                     NW  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SE  5    SW  8 G17     W  6 G17        NW  7
Precip Amount                    0.10         0.43         0.13         0.01
Precip Duration                     5            9            4            1
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing         3 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            450         3330          970         5070
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  7        SW 15         W 13         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 520        49550         7810        53000
Dispersion                          1            5            3            5
DSI                                 0            0            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum RH 76 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 79 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ034-035-220930-
Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of Bedford and McConnellsburg
546 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy       Cloudy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  70          100           50           20
Temp (24h trend)              59 (+4)      75 (-2)           58           78
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)     62 (+17)           97           48
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       Lgt/Var                     NW  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          Lgt/Var        SW  5        SW  5        NW  7
Precip Amount                    0.07         0.38         0.13         0.01
Precip Duration                     4            9            4            1
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing         3 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            690         2550          580         5810
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  9        SW  9         W  9         N 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                2370        40500          240        69880
Dispersion                          2            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            2
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-220930-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, and Mifflintown
546 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy       Cloudy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  90          100           50           20
Temp (24h trend)              59 (+6)      74 (-2)           58           78
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)     66 (+31)          100           45
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       Lgt/Var                     NW  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          Lgt/Var         S  5      Lgt/Var        NW  6
Precip Amount                    0.11         0.39         0.13         0.00
Precip Duration                     4            9            4            1
Precip Begin                    11 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing         3 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            650         2410          640         6070
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE 12        SW 10        SW  8         N 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 320        42260           80        90340
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            2
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            2            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-220930-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
546 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy       Cloudy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms         None
Chance Precip (%)                 100          100           50            0
Temp (24h trend)              55 (+6)      69 (-3)           54           76
RH % (24h trend)             86 (-14)     68 (+41)          100           43
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         SE  5                     NW  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          Lgt/Var         S  7        SW  5        NW  7
Precip Amount                    0.32         0.54         0.08         0.00
Precip Duration                     4            9            3
Precip Begin                    12 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)              0         1410          120         6470
Transport Wnd (mph)              E  2         S  9        SW  6         N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        32880            0        96210
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            2            2            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-220930-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, and Berwick
546 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     PCldy       Cloudy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms         None
Chance Precip (%)                  90          100           50            0
Temp (24h trend)              57 (+6)      71 (-4)           57           79
RH % (24h trend)              93 (-7)     65 (+37)          100           40
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       Lgt/Var                     NW  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          Lgt/Var         S  5      Lgt/Var        NW  6
Precip Amount                    0.10         0.40         0.12         0.00
Precip Duration                     4            9            4
Precip Begin                    12 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)              0         1300           50         5910
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE  2        SE 12         W  2         N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        21460            0        87750
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            0            2
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            2            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 76 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ058-220930-
Schuylkill-
Including the city of Pottsville
546 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     PCldy       Cloudy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms         None
Chance Precip (%)                  60          100           50            0
Temp (24h trend)              56 (+4)      68 (-6)           58           78
RH % (24h trend)             87 (-13)     68 (+34)          100           46
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       Lgt/Var                     NW  6
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          Lgt/Var        SE  5      Lgt/Var        NW  7
Precip Amount                    0.01         0.34         0.13         0.00
Precip Duration                     3            9            4
Precip Begin                     1 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             40         1230           50         5320
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  2        SE 10         W  2         N 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        19440            0        88670
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            0            1
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            2            2            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-220930-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
546 PM EDT Mon May 21 2018

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed

Cloud Cover                     MCldy       Cloudy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  50          100           50           10
Temp (24h trend)              59 (+3)      73 (-4)           60           78
RH % (24h trend)              93 (-7)     66 (+30)          100           48
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       Lgt/Var                     NW  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          Lgt/Var         S  5      Lgt/Var        NW  7
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.31         0.13         0.00
Precip Duration                     1            8            4            1
Precip Begin                    12 AM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing         3 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)              0         1550          360         6380
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE  6         S  5         S  8         N 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        13850            0       103460
Dispersion                          1            4            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            0            2
LAL                       >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 76 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$



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