Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 231920
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
320 PM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

...Cooler and Wetter Tuesday into Wednesday...

.DISCUSSION...
The dry weather that has been in place since last week will come to
an end tonight. Light rain showers will move in from south to north
tonight, and will remain possible into Wednesday. Cooler weather can
also be expected after this afternoon.

A brief break in the rain chances will occur Thursday, as we will be
in between systems. Another system will move in by Friday, bringing
rain chances to the area for Friday and Saturday. Quieter weather
will return late in the weekend and early next week.

MIZ037>039-043>045-240830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
320 PM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 0100, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 0100.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 2200-2700
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 1400, then rain showers likely.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......38 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3500-4000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0100, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 0200.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-51 percent near Lake Michigan and 36-41
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 7
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4500-5000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-240830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
320 PM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 0300, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 0300.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 1400, then rain showers likely.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......34 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........around 0.12 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 0400, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-240830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
320 PM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2100.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1500-2000 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3000-3500 ft AGL decreasing to
                    600-1100 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-500 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......39 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2900-3400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0300, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 0200.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1600-2100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4600-5100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-240830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
320 PM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2300, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2200 until 0700, then rain
                    showers likely.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph decreasing to around 5
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......34 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.13 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 0400, then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 0600.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-240830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
320 PM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 0700, then rain showers likely.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-600 (fair to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers likely.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......39 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0700, then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph increasing to north
                    around 15 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds 6 to 11 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain and snow showers
overnight. Lows in the upper 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
50s. Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. West winds
5 to 9 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest winds 7 to
12 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.

$$



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