Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46
000
FXUS64 KBMX 261204
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
704 AM CDT Tue Mar 26 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 331 AM CDT TUE MAR 26 2024

A line of thunderstorms is pushing across Central Alabama
this morning, producing occasional wind gusts of 30-40mph.
Gradient wind gusts remain strong ahead of the line, with gusts up
to 30mph. There is little to no instability ahead of the line,
and recent radar trends show a generally increase in storm
intensity. A strong storm, and gradient wind gust, remain
possible, severe storms are unlikely.

This line will continue to push eastward this morning, with
locations west of I-65 dry by mid day. The actual surface front
and cooler air will lag behind the rainfall, and not arrive
until this evening in the northwest. If skies clear this
afternoon, could see highs in the low to mid 70s across the west.
Cooler air arrives tonight as high pressure spreads southeastward
through the Plains. Lows will range from the lower 40s northwest
to lower 50s southeast.

A shortwave rounding the base of the broader upper level trough
will strengthen a surface low along the exiting front Wednesday.
There is a chance a few showers could spill back into extreme
southeast Central Alabama during the afternoon, but most of the
activity will be east and south of the forecast area. Highs
Wednesday will be in the mid 60s northwest to mid 70s southeast.

14

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 331 AM CDT TUE MAR 26 2024

A mid- to upper-level trough will swing through the eastern CONUS
Thursday with high pressure moving east across the Mississippi
Valley. Thus, Thursday will be the coolest day of the long-term
period with highs in the 60s and 70s. Thereafter, a broad ridge is
forecast to develop across the central and eastern CONUS. We`ll be
on a warming trend as a result, with highs in the 70s on Friday,
approaching 80 on Saturday, and the 80s for early next week. We`ll
remain dry for much of this period meaning this will be some of the
best weekend weather we`ve had in a while. A front is progged to
move toward the Tennessee Valley on Tuesday, bring some rain/storm
chances.

40/Sizemore

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 704 AM CDT TUE MAR 26 2024

An area of rain continues to slowly move eastward across the area
this morning, with thunder limited to far southern areas. A mix of
cigs across the area, with IFR/MVFR heights where rain is
currently falling. Moderate to heavy rainfall is also lowering
vis.

Through this morning, strong southeasterly winds are possible
ahead of the line of rain, with gusts of 25-30kts. Along the line,
as winds become westerly, wind gusts of 20-30kts are also
possible. As the rain spreads eastward, expect cigs to lower
across eastern and southern terminals, to as low as IFR.

Through the afternoon, rain will end from west to east, with cigs
improving and winds diminishing. Expect VFR cigs areawide by mid
afternoon.

14

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

An area of rain and thunderstorms will continue eastward today,
with rainfall ending from west to east through the day.
Southeasterly 20ft winds remain elevated this morning ahead of the
area of rainfall, at 15-20mph. 20ft winds diminish through the
day on Tuesday, as the rain ends, with variability in the
direction. The cold front arrives tonight, with winds becoming
northwesterly at 5-8mph.

Drier air arrives by Wednesday, with minimum RH values in the 35
to 45 percent range Wednesday afternoon. Thursday, 20ft winds
increase from the north at 9-12mph, with minimum RH values below
30 percent.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     68  43  68  43 / 100  10  10  10
Anniston    69  47  70  45 /  90  10  10  10
Birmingham  70  47  68  44 /  90   0   0  10
Tuscaloosa  73  47  69  44 /  80   0   0   0
Calera      70  47  70  45 /  90   0   0  10
Auburn      68  51  73  48 /  90  20  10  20
Montgomery  71  49  73  47 /  90  10  10  10
Troy        72  51  75  48 /  90  20  10  20

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for the following
counties: Calhoun-Cherokee-Clay-Cleburne-Etowah-Randolph-St.
Clair-Talladega.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....40
AVIATION...14


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.