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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 211957
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for 16 Springs RX...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
157 PM MDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1400 MDT on April 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Stratus will stick around for the next couple of hours or so.
Clearing is expected later this afternoon before returning again
for a few hours overnight. Light and variable winds with a east or
southeast direction favored are expected this afternoon and into
the overnight hours. By Monday morning, the cooler, more moist air
mass is expected to be swept back to the east. Highs will be much
warmer beneath Sunday skies with west to southwest winds topping
out around 10 MPH. Min RH values will be lower as well. Poor
venting today will be replaced with very good venting tomorrow.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 percent) later this afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 7 mph.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18300 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........90     31
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0
Temp............53     54
RH..............57     52
20 ft wind......SE 7   SE 7
20 ft wind gust.12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....2300   2300
Transport wind..SE 9   SE 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..18     18
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) becoming mostly cloudy overnight
(70-80 percent) then some clearing again by morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 5 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 8 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 10 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........24     24     53     82     52     21
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............52     44     41     38     36     34
RH..............56     76     82     92     92     89
20 ft wind......SE 6   SE 6   S 5    SW 5   SW 5   SW 5
20 ft wind gust.9      9      7      7      7      7
Mix hgt (ft)....2100   2100   500    500    600    600
Transport wind..SE 8   SE 8   S 8    S 8    SW 10  SW 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..15     15     4      4      5      5
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    west around 11 mph.
Mixing height.......10400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12800 knot-ft) increasing to very good
                    (114200 knot-ft) in the late morning and
                    afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........19        15        10        6
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............33        49        65        72
RH..............85        52        27        20
20 FT wind......SW 5G8    S 6G9     S 9G14    W 11G15
Mix hgt (ft)....2100      2100      10400     9600
Transport wind..W 9       W 9       S 10      W 17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..13        13        114       148
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      VYGD      VYGD

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. West
winds around 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds around 16 mph.

$$
Forecaster...BROWN
Requested by...Sacramento Ranger District
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411625.0/EPZ
.DELDT 04/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matthew.barone@usda.gov