Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
568 FNUS53 KGRR 091945 FWFGRR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 345 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024 ...Rain ends this evening more on the way Friday night... .DISCUSSION... One system will move off to the south tonight and bring and end to the rain over Lower Michigan. Another system will swing through the area Friday night into Saturday with additional rainfall. Friday night and Saturday rainfall will be on the order of a quarter to a half inch. It will remain cool through Saturday with a warmup beginning on Sunday. MIZ037>039-043>045-100815- Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta- Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart, Fremont, and Big Rapids 345 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 11 PM, then partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2 AM. Chance of pcpn......50 percent in the evening. Min temperature.....37-42. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Max humidity........88-93 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 200-700 ft AGL. Mixing height.......Inland, 2400-2900 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....40-320 (poor to good). Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.16 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Max temperature.....59-64. 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. Min humidity........45-50 percent near Lake Michigan and 35-40 percent Inland. 24 hr trend......5 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 15 percent drier Inland. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 6300-6800 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....630-820 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 AM, then cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2 AM, then rain showers likely. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Min temperature.....40-45. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 300-800 ft AGL. Mixing height.......Inland, 2700-3200 ft AGL decreasing to 700-1200 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....110-280 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........0.15-0.48 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 5 PM, then sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of rain showers. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Max temperature.....58-63. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Min humidity........53-58 percent near Lake Michigan and 42-47 percent Inland. 24 hr trend...... 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 24 hr trend...... 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 5700-6200 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....North around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....740-980 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.18 in. $$ MIZ040-046-100815- Clare-Isabella- Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant 345 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Min temperature.....37-42. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Max humidity........84-89 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 8 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....40-320 (poor to good). Pcpn Amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max temperature.....Around 64. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Min humidity........33-38 percent. 24 hr trend......14 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......North winds around 6 mph shifting to the west around 7 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6900-7400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....650-740 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 AM, then mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain showers after 2 AM. Chance of pcpn......50 percent overnight. Min temperature.....40-45. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Max humidity........91-96 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph shifting to the south overnight. Smoke dispersal.....60-210 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........0.13-0.31 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 5 PM, then mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain showers. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 62. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Min humidity........44-49 percent. 24 hr trend......16 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6100-6600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....690-980 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.24 in. $$ MIZ050-056-064-071-100815- Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren- Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland, and South Haven 345 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 2 AM, then partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2 AM. Chance of pcpn......50 percent in the evening. Min temperature.....Around 45. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 8 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....50-120 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Max temperature.....59-64. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Min humidity........39-44 percent. 24 hr trend......30 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 6100-6600 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....800-830 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 AM, then mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2 AM, then rain showers likely. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Min temperature.....Around 47. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Max humidity........88-93 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1300-1800 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....110-300 (poor to good). Pcpn Amount.........0.15-0.36 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain showers until 5 PM. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Max temperature.....58-63. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Min humidity........44-49 percent. 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 11 to 16 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 5100-5600 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....740-980 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in. $$ MIZ051-052-057>059-100815- Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton- Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia, and St. Johns 345 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 11 PM, then partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Min temperature.....41-46. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Max humidity........85-90 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....50-370 (poor to good). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max temperature.....Around 64. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Min humidity........32-37 percent. 24 hr trend......17 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6800-7300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....840-930 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2 AM, then mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers likely after 2 AM. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Min temperature.....Around 46. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Max humidity........88-93 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL decreasing to 700-1200 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....160-220 (fair). Pcpn Amount.........0.17-0.43 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain showers. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 62. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Min humidity........44-49 percent. 24 hr trend......17 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....700-910 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.22 in. $$ MIZ065>067-072>074-100815- Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson- Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo, Battle Creek, and Jackson 345 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 2 AM, then partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2 AM. Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening. Min temperature.....Around 44. 24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....60-120 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) until 2 PM, then partly sunny (45-55 percent). Max temperature.....Around 63. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Min humidity........38-43 percent. 24 hr trend......27 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6600-7100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....980-1050 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in. .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent) until 2 AM, then mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers likely after 2 AM. Chance of pcpn......70 percent overnight. Min temperature.....Around 46. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Max humidity........88-93 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....100-240 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........0.18-0.41 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 61. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Min humidity........48-53 percent. 24 hr trend......15 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 11 to 16 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....800-960 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.28 in. $$ .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Warmer. Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 11 to 16 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph shifting to the east 7 to 12 mph overnight. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s. Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 70. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 50. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. $$