Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 161920
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
320 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will lead to unseasonably warm and quiet weather
through midweek. A series of weak disturbances bring only a
slight chance of showers towards later in the week. Some slightly
higher relative humidity values are slated for late week into
next weekend. Rain chances may start to increase later in the
weekend, with temperatures gradually starting to fall.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-171130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
320 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 2 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 58 84 64 88
Max/Min RH (%) 94 41 87 34
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 6 SW 4 SW 7 SW 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 SW 7 SW 6 SW 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/1000 1900 70/0900
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 5 5 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 7800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 16 W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67200 132600
ADI Early 23 Fair 29 Fair 34 Fair 75 Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 60 Gen Good 15 Gen Poor 115 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 3 4
Max LVORI Late 6 2 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 4 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability E B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 88 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Cooler. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-171130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
320 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 2 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 60 84 64 89
Max/Min RH (%) 91 38 83 30
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 SW 4 S 7 SW 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 SW 6 W 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/1000 1900 70/0900
Dispersion Poor Fair
Haines Index 4 5 5 5
DSI 2 4
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 7700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 20 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 88000 123200
ADI Early 60 Gen Good 32 Fair 42 Gen Good 63 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 86 Good 15 Gen Poor 121 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 3 4
Max LVORI Late 5 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability E B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Cooler. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 49 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-171130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
320 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 60 83 63 88
Max/Min RH (%) 91 41 90 38
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 SW 4 S 6 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 7 SW 5 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/1000 1900 70/0900
Dispersion Poor Fair
Haines Index 5 5 5 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 7300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 18 W 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 79200 102200
ADI Early 45 Gen Good 35 Fair 44 Gen Good 60 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 77 Good 12 Poor 97 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 3 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Cooler. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-171130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
320 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 60 84 62 89
Max/Min RH (%) 86 39 88 33
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 4 S 7 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 SW 7 SW 6 W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/1000 1900 69/0900
Dispersion Poor Fair
Haines Index 5 5 5 5
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 7200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 NW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 90300 100800
ADI Early 70 Good 36 Fair 48 Gen Good 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 90 Good 15 Gen Poor 106 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 3 5
Max LVORI Late 4 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B D A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 77 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Cooler. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$