NOAA

National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

Binghamton, NY

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

000
FNUS74 KLZK 121557
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for PS turkey creek 8/44...USFS
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1057 AM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure will be in place over the next few days promoting
mostly sunny conditions. Rain does not re-enter the forecast
until late Monday night into Tuesday.

.SATURDAY...

Max temperature.....66 at ignition...Max 78.
Min humidity........54 percent at ignition...Min 31 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 23 to 29 mph.
Stability class.....3.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Dispersion..........51 increasing to 77 in the afternoon.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 6.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....74.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5784 ft MSL.
Category Day........5.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4400 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............66  70  74  76  77  77  78  76
RH..............54  45  38  34  33  32  31  34
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..14  14  13  12  13  13  14  14
20 FT wind gust.21  20  18  18  18  19  20  20
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.23  25  26  28  29  29  28  24
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 59.
Max humidity........Max 70 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 22 mph increasing to 25 to 29
                    mph overnight.
Stability class.....5.
LVORI...............2.
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Dispersion..........42 decreasing to 19 in the late evening and
                    overnight, then increasing to 26 after 3 am.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....MISSING.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 3451 ft MSL.
Category Day........3.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2100 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............74  72  70  68  66  66  65  65  64  63  62  61
RH..............38  42  47  51  56  56  56  56  58  60  62  65
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..13  13  13  12  12  14  16  17  20  21  22  21
20 FT wind gust.19  19  18  18  18  20  24  26  29  31  33  31
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.21  17  15  15  15  16  20  22  25  28  29  28
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SUNDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 79.
Min humidity........Min 50 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 to 25 mph.
Stability class.....3.
LVORI...............2 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Dispersion..........32 increasing to 59.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....77.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4869 ft MSL.
Category Day........4.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3500 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............61  60  62  64  66  69  71  74  75  77  78  77
RH..............67  69  70  67  68  63  59  55  54  52  50  54
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..21  20  20  18  17  16  15  13  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.30  29  29  28  26  24  21  18  18  18  18  18
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.25  24  24  25  25  24  23  22  22  22  21  18
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...J Condry
Requested by...Eric Stuart
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410524.0/LZK
.DELDT 04/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL eric.stuart@usda.gov