Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
638
FNUS54 KMEG 011958
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
258 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms return to the region for Thursday afternoon
with unsettled weather continuing into the weekend into early next
week. Minimum relative humidities will be above average into early
next week.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-020930-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
258 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 10 20 80 70
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.58 0.21
Precip Duration (hrs) 0 10 6
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 63 (-1) 87 (0) 64 80
RH % (24h trend) 88 (-1) 39 (-3) 98 59
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6-10 G17 SW 6-10
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 3-7 S 9-13 G18 S 6-10 W 5-9
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1700 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5600 3600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1800 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5900 3900
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 9 NW 5
Transport Wnd (mph) S 21 NW 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 16200 6000
Category Day 5 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 80 70
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 8 N 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 18 N 16
Dispersion Index 10 56 18 30
LAL 1 2 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 5 5 4 3
Stability Class F C D B
Stagnation Index 3 2 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 61 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-020930-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
258 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 80 80
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.15 0.60 0.51
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 11 11
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 63 (-1) 84 (-2) 64 78
RH % (24h trend) 88 (-6) 48 (+5) 100 64
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5-9 SW 5-9
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 2-6 S 7-11 S 6-10 SW 4-8
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1400 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4600 3800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1500 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4800 4000
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 9 SW 5
Transport Wnd (mph) S 21 SW 10
Vent Index (m2/s) 13500 6000
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 79 72
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 8 NW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 18 NW 12
Dispersion Index 11 56 17 29
LAL 1 3 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 5 4 3 3
Stability Class F C D B
Stagnation Index 3 2 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. South winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-020930-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
258 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 10 80 80
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.35
Precip Duration (hrs) 6 11
Precip Begin 7 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+2) 87 (0) 64 79
RH % (24h trend) 91 (-4) 38 (-6) 100 64
AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4-8 SW 6-10
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 2-6 S 7-11 S 4-8 SW 6-10
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1800 700
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5900 2400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1900 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6300 2800
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 8 W 6
Transport Wnd (mph) S 18 W 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 15200 5400
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 80 71
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 7 W 8
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 15 W 18
Dispersion Index 9 52 16 29
LAL 1 1 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 5 5 4 3
Stability Class F B D C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-020930-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
258 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 10 80 80
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.47
Precip Duration (hrs) 6 11
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 60 (+1) 86 (-1) 64 79
RH % (24h trend) 91 (-5) 39 (-3) 100 65
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 4-8 SW 6-10
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 2-6 S 6-10 S 4-8 SW 6-10
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1800 900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5900 2800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1900 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6300 3200
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 8 SW 7
Transport Wnd (mph) S 18 SW 15
Vent Index (m2/s) 15200 7000
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 80 72
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 7 W 8
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 15 W 18
Dispersion Index 9 51 15 33
LAL 1 2 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 5 5 4 3
Stability Class F B D C
Stagnation Index 3 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-020930-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
258 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 80 80
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.07 0.46 0.59
Precip Duration (hrs) 0 10 11
Precip Begin 3 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+2) 85 (-2) 64 78
RH % (24h trend) 87 (-10) 46 (+4) 100 69
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 4-8 S 6-10
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 2-6 S 8-12 S 6-10 SW 5-9
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1600 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5200 3100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1700 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5500 3400
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 8 SW 6
Transport Wnd (mph) S 18 SW 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 13600 6000
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 79 74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 7 W 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 15 W 11
Dispersion Index 10 47 18 33
LAL 1 3 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 5 4 4 3
Stability Class F C D C
Stagnation Index 3 2 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-020930-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
258 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 10 70 80
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.43
Precip Duration (hrs) 5 10
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 61 (+4) 87 (0) 64 80
RH % (24h trend) 92 (-7) 40 (0) 100 64
AM Wind 20ft (mph) SE 3-7 S 5-9
PM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var S 6-10 S 4-8 SW 6-10
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1900 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6100 3300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 2000 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 6500 3700
Transport Wnd (m/s) S 8 SW 6
Transport Wnd (mph) S 17 SW 14
Vent Index (m2/s) 16000 6600
Category Day 5 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 80 74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 6 SW 7
500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 13 SW 16
Dispersion Index 8 47 15 35
LAL 1 1 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 5 4 4 3
Stability Class F B D C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3 1
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Thunderstorms likely and a chance of showers.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$