Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FNUS74 KTSA 280946
FWSTSA

Spot Forecast for BOMAG Cripple Branch...Forest Service
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
446 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on March 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A warming trend will continue with near seasonal temperatures
today and above average temperatures occurring on Friday. Light
and variable winds this morning will increase slightly out of the
south-southwest this afternoon, remaining generally light.
Afternoon relative humidity values today will fall near 40
percent at the burn site. Relative humidity values recover to near
75 percent overnight tonight. Southwest winds will increase
during the daytime on Friday, with occasional gusts around 30-35
mph at eye-level. Afternoon relative humidity values will fall
near 45 percent Friday afternoon. No precipitation is expected at
the burn site through the forecast period.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Dewpoint............35 increasing to 39 in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (24262 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (40000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).60.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............46  51  54  59  61  62  63  63  64
Dewpoint........33  35  36  37  38  39  39  40  40
RH..............61  54  50  45  43  43  41  43  42
20 FT wind dir..E   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.    4   6   6   7   10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.4 2.5 3.4 4.0 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.0
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.3   5   7   8   9   10  10  10  9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..24  24  24  24  40  40  40  40  40
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR
1700FT Mix T(F).57  57  58  60  61  62  62  63  64

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........74 percent.
Dewpoint............40.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast around
                    5 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (40000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3934 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Stability class.....5.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).64.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0   0   1   2   5   3   5   1   7   13  18  24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............63  59  57  54  53  52  50  50  48  48  48  48
Dewpoint........41  42  41  40  40  40  40  40  40  39  39  39
RH..............45  52  55  59  62  63  68  68  74  73  71  73
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   7   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   9   8   9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..40  5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4
Ventrate Cat....FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
1700FT Mix T(F).64  64  65  66  66  66  65  64  64  64  63  63

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Dewpoint............41 increasing to 48 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph with gusts to around 22
                    mph.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 18 mph increasing to southwest 25 to
                    32 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3934 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (131147 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).61 increasing to 71 in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  39  39  39  39  39  39  42  42  42  42  42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............48  47  49  53  57  62  66  69  71  72  72  71
Dewpoint........39  39  41  43  46  48  49  49  49  49  50  50
RH..............73  74  74  70  66  61  54  48  46  45  46  47
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   8   11  13  14  15  16  16  16  16
20 FT wind gust.7   7   10  12  16  18  19  20  21  22  22  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.6 3.5 4.1 4.7 5.0 4.8 3.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   14  18  21  24  25  31  32  29  25
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   77  77  77  77  77  77  131 131 131 131 131
Ventrate Cat....PR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
1700FT Mix T(F).63  62  59  57  57  61  65  69  71  71  72  73

$$
Forecaster...B.MEJIA
Requested by...ZFMO
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408652.0/TSA
.DELDT 03/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL michael.h.thomas@usda.gov


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