Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 250832
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
332 AM CDT Wed Apr 25 2018

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Area of showers and storms has been persistent south of I-20 across
Nolan and Taylor counties early this morning. Latest high-res models
suggests that it should begin to break up and shift east before 12Z
this morning as the cold front undercuts it and moves south across
the area. However, both the TTu WRF and the HRRR show an another
area of mainly light post-frontal rain developing later this morning
and continuing into the afternoon across much of West Central Texas.
Will keep rain chances fairly high for the day, but adjustments
based on radar trends will be possible shortly before sunrise.
Otherwise, temperatures will be cool with the colder air mass and
abundant cloud cover. Highs only in the 50s and 60s today. Clearing
skies tonight with lows in the 40s.

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Wednesday)

Rain chances will go away temporarily, however, below normal
temperatures remain in the forecast for the next few days. The cold
front that is expected to arrive Thursday night and into Friday
morning will keep temperatures down. However, no additional rain
chances are currently anticipated with this frontal passage. In
fact, the area will remain without rain chances through much of the
weekend.

Afterwards, the forecast becomes much more uncertain with regards to
another possible disturbance moving in from the west during the
early part of next week. Models continue to show disagreement with
regards the positioning of the system. However, there remains some
possibility for additional rain chances beginning on Sunday night
and also for the next day or two in particular. Chances remain low
as uncertainty is still high.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  59  42  76  46 /  50  10   0   5
San Angelo  64  44  80  48 /  50  10   0  10
Junction  68  46  82  50 /  60  30   0  10
Brownwood  63  44  79  46 /  60  20   0   5
Sweetwater  58  42  77  46 /  50   5   0   5
Ozona       66  44  78  49 /  60  10   0  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

07/41


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