Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
959
FNUS52 KILM 080917
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
517 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
.DISCUSSION...
The area will remain between an inland trough and Atlantic high
pressure into Thursday with unseasonably warm and humid
conditions expected. Mainly limited showers and storms expected
today into tonight, with a better chance with more widespread
coverage slated for Thu into Fri associated with a strong cold
frontal passage.Some of these could be severe Thu. High pressure
with near normal temps and lower daytime RH will dominate this
weekend into early next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-090130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
517 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 20 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 3 4
Max/Min Temp 94 69 91
Min/Max RH (%) 47 95 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 SW 8 G22 SW 9 G19
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G22 SW 6 SW 13 G23
Precip Amount 0.02 0.08 0.07
Precip Duration 0 1 2
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 1900 74/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 5300
Transport Wind (mph) W 18 SW 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 102600 137800
ADI Early 79 Good 36 Fair 73 Good
ADI Late 92 Good 8 Poor 99 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 86 percent.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-090130-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
517 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 20 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 4
Max/Min Temp 93 69 91
Min/Max RH (%) 46 96 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 6 SW 9 G21
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 SW 5 SW 14 G23
Precip Amount 0.04 0.12 0.09
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 1900 73/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 5000
Transport Wind (mph) W 18 SW 28
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 93600 140000
ADI Early 75 Good 53 Gen Good 76 Good
ADI Late 106 Very Good6 Very Poor 100 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 84 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 35 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-090130-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
517 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 4
Max/Min Temp 93 70 90
Min/Max RH (%) 48 93 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 SW 6 SW 11 G23
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 SW 6 SW 15 G25
Precip Amount 0.08 0.16 0.21
Precip Duration 1 2 4
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 1900 73/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 4900
Transport Wind (mph) SW 18 SW 29
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 82800 142100
ADI Early 64 Good 57 Gen Good 77 Good
ADI Late 78 Good 9 Poor 89 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 81 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-090130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
517 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 10 30
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 2 3
Max/Min Temp 93 71 90
Min/Max RH (%) 44 93 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 7 G21 SW 8 G19
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 G22 SW 6 SW 12 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.13
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 12 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 1900 77/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 5700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 W 28
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 103700 159600
ADI Early 60 Gen Good 38 Fair 74 Good
ADI Late 99 Good 7 Poor 118 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 82 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-090130-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
517 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 10 40
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 2 3
Max/Min Temp 92 70 90
Min/Max RH (%) 43 92 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 6 SW 9 G20
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 SW 6 SW 12 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.16
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM
Precip End 12 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 1900 73/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 5100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 W 30
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 102000 153000
ADI Early 59 Gen Good 63 Good 79 Good
ADI Late 111 Very Good7 Poor 122 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 84 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-090130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
517 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 20 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 2 4
Max/Min Temp 92 70 89
Min/Max RH (%) 48 95 55
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 SW 6 SW 10 G22
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 SW 6 SW 13 G23
Precip Amount 0.04 0.09 0.29
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 1900 73/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 4900
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 SW 29
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 85000 142100
ADI Early 57 Gen Good 45 Gen Good 77 Good
ADI Late 89 Good 9 Poor 85 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with thunderstorms likely and a chance of
showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 83 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...dch