Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 221932
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
332 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

...High winds in the mountains and foothills tonight and Monday...

.DISCUSSION...
An upper level storm system will move across the
Tennessee Valley early this week, producing scattered to numerous
showers through Tuesday.

Windy conditions will develop over the area Tonight and continue
through Monday evening, especially across the higher elevations and
adjacent foothills.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-232045-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
332 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (+5)   58-63 (-8)   48-53        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (+24)  50-55 (+19)  87-92        55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE 18 G48                 SE  5 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 10 G30    E 16 G39     SE 17 G42    LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           90           80           70
Precip duration       1            5            5            3
Precip begin          11 PM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.16         0.43         0.19         0.30
LAL                   1            1            1            3
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3100                      5200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1100                      3100
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 29                     S  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 89900                     46800
Dispersion                         26 Fair                   22 Fair
Max LVORI                          4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE 22 G48                 SE  7 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 13 G30    E 20 G39     SE 21 G42    LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the lower
50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers.
Colder. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s. North winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 70s. North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-232045-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
332 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (+5)   53-58 (-8)   45-50        60-65
RH % (24h trend)      94-99 (+16)  54-59 (+10)  90-95        58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE 27 G67                 SE  8 G28
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 19 G60    SE 25 G61    SE 21 G53    LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     70           90           80           70
Precip duration       2            5            5            3
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.37         0.49         0.33         0.31
LAL                   1            2            1            3
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3600                      4800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                900                       2100
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 40                     S  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 144000                    38400
Dispersion                         29 Fair                   12 Poor
Max LVORI                          4                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE 34 G67                 SE 10 G28
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 25 G60    SE 31 G61    SE 26 G53    W  5

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the lower
50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the 30s to upper 40s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the 50s to 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-232045-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
332 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (+5)   59-64 (+1)   47-52        61-66
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (+14)  52-57 (0)    89-94        56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE 27 G74                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 21 G66    SE 22 G63    SE 13 G42    W  6 G15
Precip type           showers      tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     100          90           80           70
Precip duration       5            5            8            3
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.68         0.50         0.26         0.25
LAL                   1            2            1            3
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4300                      5800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1300                      2800
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 36                     W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 154800                    58000
Dispersion                         37 Fair                   22 Fair
Max LVORI                          4                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE 34 G74                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 27 G66    SE 28 G63    SE 17 G42    W  8 G15

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the lower
50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows
in the mid 30s to upper 40s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the 40s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
40s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s
to lower 70s. East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-232045-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
332 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      51-56 (+7)   65-70 (+6)   49-54        65-70
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (+11)  56-61 (+4)   93-98        58-63
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE 21 G49                 SW  6
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 22 G53    SE 17 G45    SE  8 G22    W  7 G15
Precip type           showers      tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     100          90           80           60
Precip duration       8            5            5            3
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.94         0.45         0.22         0.21
LAL                   1            2            1            3
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3800                      4900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1800                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 25                     W 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 95000                     58800
Dispersion                         38 Fair                   28 Fair
Max LVORI                          4                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE 27 G49                 SW  8
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 28 G53    SE 21 G45    SE 10 G22    W  9

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s to upper 60s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the 40s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s
to 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
50s to mid 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-232045-
Nantahala National Forest-
332 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      49-54 (+8)   63-68 (+6)   48-53        65-70
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+5)  60-65 (0)    95-100       55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE 17 G43                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 23 G50    SE 15 G40    SE  8 G24    W  6 G15
Precip type           showers      tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     100          90           70           60
Precip duration       8            7            3            3
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         1.06         0.61         0.24         0.20
LAL                   1            2            1            3
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3900                      4800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1700                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 23                     W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 89700                     48000
Dispersion                         32 Fair                   22 Fair
Max LVORI                          4                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE 22 G43                 SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 28 G50    SE 19 G40    SE 10 G24    W  7 G15

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s to lower 50s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the 40s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-232045-
East Tennessee District East-
332 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      49-54 (+7)   61-66 (-6)   48-53        64-69
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (+16)  53-58 (+17)  88-93        56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  E 19 G52                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     E 12 G38     E 17 G41     E 13 G37     LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           90           80           70
Precip duration       2            5            8            3
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.20         0.37         0.20         0.28
LAL                   1            2            1            3
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3200                      4700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1700                      3200
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 30                     SW  7
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 96000                     32900
Dispersion                         44 Gen good               18 Gen poor
Max LVORI                          4                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  E 23 G52                  NE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     E 15 G38     E 21 G41     E 17 G37     LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s
to mid 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers.
Colder. Lows in the 40s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
50s to 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. East winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-232045-
East Tennessee District West-
332 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (+5)   63-68 (0)    50-55        66-71
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+17)  60-65 (+16)  89-94        57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  E 14 G37                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     E 11 G30     E 14 G36     E  8 G26     W  5
Precip type           showers      tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     100          90           80           60
Precip duration       8            4            8            3
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.52         0.35         0.23         0.22
LAL                   1            2            1            3
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3400                      5300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2100                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 23                     W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 78200                     53000
Dispersion                         40 Fair                   35 Fair
Max LVORI                          4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  E 18 G37                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     E 14 G30     E 17 G36     E 10 G26     W  7

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph early in
the evening becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s
to upper 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the 40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s
to upper 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-232045-
Cumberland District South-
332 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018 /232 PM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018/

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      51-56 (+4)   65-70 (+5)   51-56        66-71
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+18) 61-66 (+8)   94-99        57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE 12 G31                 W  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     E 18 G42     SE 10 G30    SE  5 G15    W  8 G20
Precip type           showers      tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     100          80           80           60
Precip duration       8            3            5            2
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         1.08         0.36         0.18         0.14
LAL                   1            2            1            3
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3500                      5300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2400                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 16                     W 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 56000                     63600
Dispersion                         34 Fair                   42 Gen good
Max LVORI                          4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE 15 G31                 W  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     E 23 G42     SE 13 G30    SE  6 G15    W 10 G20

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s to mid 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in
the 60s to lower 70s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 40s to lower 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 60s
to lower 70s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s
to mid 70s. North winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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