Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY
290
FNUS71 KBGM 301915
FWSBGM
Spot Forecast for 236 Grass...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
315 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
North to northwest winds will be breezy late tonight into the
morning hours before day time mixing will cause the winds to slow
down late morning as the clouds clear. As high pressure builds in
tomorrow afternoon, winds continue to become lighter through the
afternoon and also become more variable. Winds do pick up after a
surface inversion forms Wednesday night around 9 pm but wind
direction will be out of the SW at 10 mph on hill tops but
continue to strengthen through the night up to 15 with gusts to
around 20 mph on ridge tops as a warm front moves through.
Thursday will be windier with low pressure passing to the north.
Dry air above the boundary layer will mix down in the afternoon
with RH falling down to 30 to 40 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 10 to 13 mph early becoming
5 to 7 mph after 10 am then variable at 4 to 7 mph after
4 pm.
Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 8 to 10 mph becoming
4 to 7 mph after 10 am then variable at 3 to 5 mph after
4 pm..
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
SUNSET..............800 pm
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................23 early in the morning increasing to 67 in the
afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........66 68 66 59 55 46 38 30 25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............56 58 59 61 62 64 64 65 65
RH..............86 77 75 67 62 56 56 54 54
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..12 8 7 5 5 5 5 4 4
20 FT wind gust.16 13 10 8 8 7 7 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.4 3.1 3.6 4.1 4.3 4.5 4.4 4.0
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.10 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 12
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............23 29 37 48 58 65 67 64 55
Haines index....3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Variable winds 4 to 7 mph shifting to the
south 6 to 9 mph in the late evening and
increasing to 10 to 15 mph with gust
to near 20 mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest 5 to
12 mph early in the evening and increase to 15 to 20 mph
after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
SUNRISE.............557 am
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................0 to 38.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........17 11 7 5 6 9 14 20 25 29 32 35
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............66 64 61 58 57 56 55 55 55 54 54 53
RH..............52 58 62 72 75 74 77 77 77 80 83 86
20 FT wind dir..NW W W S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..8 6 5 6 6 7 10 12 13 13 13 13
20 FT wind gust.12 8 7 8 10 10 14 17 18 19 19 19
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW W SW SW S S S S S SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.9 7 5 5 7 8 10 12 14 14 16 18
LVORI...........1 3 3 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 5 5
ADI.............38 18 2 0 0 4 5 7 8 8 8 9
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
northwest 13 to 14 mph in the late morning.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 17 mph shifting to the northwest 18
to 22 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
SUNSET..............801 pm
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................11 early in the morning increasing to 85 in the
afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........34 19 24 31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1
Temp............55 60 67 69
RH..............83 69 48 40
20 FT wind......SW 10G15 W 13G18 W 15G22 NW 15G22
Mix hgt (ft)....600 2300 4400 4600
Transport wind..SW 10 W 17 NW 22 NW 20
LVORI...........5 3 1 1
ADI.............11 44 85 77
Haines index....4 3 3 4
$$
Forecaster...Gill
Requested by...Brian Williamson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412810.0/BGM
.DELDT 04/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brianwilli@pa.gov