Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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730 WUUS01 KWNS 180048 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0746 PM CDT FRI MAY 17 2024 VALID TIME 180100Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 28949397 29719293 30289104 30908948 31148874 31588733 31588556 31848352 31878141 31538076 31278081 30278126 30088308 30208389 29768554 28808606 0.05 30498344 30408561 30688591 30908566 31148449 31288357 31348265 31188148 30848156 30458178 30458241 30498344 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 46030106 46540055 46969975 47089894 47139851 46759838 46399871 45949922 45580027 45500083 45570104 46030106 0.05 28779479 29159488 29919375 30289312 31649033 32128669 31648492 31288324 31378055 99999999 30238078 30158161 30138356 29338576 0.05 35928981 35828883 35148791 34488804 34088876 33849011 34159212 34599280 35259277 35639213 36019081 35928981 0.05 29280168 30150140 30569922 30209862 29699871 29049983 28070083 0.15 29019321 29899295 30599119 31178917 31298778 31018533 30538548 30428563 29498682 && ... WIND ... 0.05 49229283 48029396 46169601 44599873 43950112 44240311 44750554 45560614 46290617 47030516 47370473 47880260 48580062 49619894 0.05 28719433 29339447 30109293 30759124 31539007 32118661 31718512 31558416 31608269 31808172 31678048 99999999 30238076 29898178 29868287 29918396 29528527 29018569 0.05 35159182 35389071 35448987 35408893 35278825 35078798 34738800 34368811 34148897 34008969 34029027 34099108 34399189 35159182 0.05 29430156 30140132 30479961 30209892 29899875 29060000 28240108 0.15 44740035 44800091 45160133 45640117 46320045 46619945 47529838 48439769 49319742 49279571 47799574 45959829 44969946 44740035 0.15 29059297 29529288 29759260 29949172 30449030 30918875 31288756 31098598 31028523 31018442 31168365 31288295 31318190 31218099 30668121 30438178 30348241 30298333 30118450 29918587 29138659 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 49279571 47799574 45959829 44969946 44740035 44800091 45160133 45640117 46320045 46619945 47529838 48439769 49319742 SLGT 29109318 29899295 30599119 31178917 31298778 31028508 31288357 31348265 31218099 30668121 30438178 30298333 29918587 29628614 MRGL 35259277 35639213 36019081 35828883 35148791 34368811 34088876 33849011 34159212 34599280 35259277 MRGL 49099295 48029396 46169601 44599873 43950112 44240311 44750554 45560614 46290617 47370473 47880260 48580062 49489915 MRGL 29290168 30150140 30569922 30209862 29699871 29049983 28190071 MRGL 30238076 29898178 29918396 29508528 29108561 99999999 28779479 29159488 29919375 31649033 32128669 31678487 31848352 31878141 31748116 31678048 TSTM 27057954 27278107 29638228 29758392 29178545 99999999 28830279 30630317 30970279 31319981 31299852 30469783 30239683 30389545 32589111 32899218 32209448 32609634 34699620 35949544 37879334 40558917 41568714 42758590 44798425 44498295 43068232 41848298 41688205 42288008 41127844 38547826 36677660 34327589 99999999 48398643 46468851 45259092 44729276 42419573 42619656 43739681 44239757 43310147 42350290 42350362 43170413 44200599 45010869 46130870 47330795 47600969 47091166 46351513 47361631 49511734 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW RRT 30 SE TVF 35 N ABR 55 NE PIR 25 N PIR 40 NW PIR 50 WSW MBG 35 WNW MBG 35 SSE BIS 45 WSW JMS 45 NNE JMS 40 NW GFK 45 NNW HCO. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 S LCH 25 SE LCH 55 ENE LFT 25 SSE PIB 45 WSW GZH 15 NNE MAI 20 NE MGR 15 WNW AYS 25 E SSI 30 ENE JAX 10 SW JAX 35 S VLD 25 SSW PFN 50 SSW PFN. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E RUE 30 WSW BVX 10 SE ARG 15 NNE MKL 30 NNW MSL 40 E TUP 15 S TUP 25 N GWO 10 W PBF 20 ENE HOT 20 E RUE. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE INL 45 SW INL 35 NW AXN 30 WNW HON 25 ESE PHP 15 NNW RAP 30 N GCC 35 WNW 4BQ 15 SW MLS 15 N GDV 50 ESE ISN 35 NE MOT 95 N DVL. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W DRT 50 E 6R6 35 E JCT 45 N SAT 20 NW SAT 45 WSW HDO 80 S DRT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ENE SGJ 25 WSW SGJ 40 SE TLH 20 SW AAF 55 SW AAF ...CONT... 40 S GLS 15 SSW GLS 15 E BPT 35 NNE MCB 20 SW MGM 40 WNW ABY 45 ENE ABY 20 SW SAV 25 S SAV 55 SE SAV. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE PBI 30 SSE AGR GNV 50 W CTY 45 SSW AAF ...CONT... 90 SSW 6R6 25 SW FST 10 ENE FST 40 E SJT 45 SE BWD 15 NNW AUS 35 SW CLL 25 S UTS 55 E MLU 25 NNW MLU 20 SE GGG 35 ESE DAL 30 WSW MLC 20 NNW MKO 45 N SGF 15 WNW BMI 10 NW VPZ 20 WSW GRR 35 NE HTL 25 E OSC 40 NE MTC 35 SE DTW 20 NNW CLE 15 NNE ERI 25 E DUJ 30 NNE CHO 25 SW ORF 65 SSW HSE ...CONT... 125 NE CMX 45 W MQT 40 NE EAU 25 ESE MSP 30 WSW SLB 15 NNW SUX 10 NNW FSD 35 ESE HON 50 S PHP 20 NNW AIA 30 N BFF 55 WNW CDR 25 WSW GCC 40 NNE COD 25 NNW BIL 75 ENE LWT 40 NNW LWT 30 SSW GTF 25 ENE P69 45 WSW 3TH 120 NE OMK.