Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 170010
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
810 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

...Showers Arriving...

.DISCUSSION...
Winds will remain strong and gusty this evening but humidities
will recover as showers arrive. Occasional showers and storms
are expected through Thursday night.

MIZ037>039-043>045-170815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
810 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 11 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Rain
                    showers after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 19 to 24 mph with gusts to around 41
                    mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....270-350 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.22-0.44 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of thunderstorms
                    until 5 PM. Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........67-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......46 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 16 mph shifting to the
                    south around 13 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2600-3100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....570-760 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.18-0.55 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1900-2400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....460-580 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Max temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61-66 percent near Lake Michigan and 51-56
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 14
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3300-3800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....460-480 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-170815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
810 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 AM. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 11 PM. Rain showers after 2
                    AM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 16 to 21 mph with gusts to around 33
                    mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....240-330 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.19-0.29 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers and
                    a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......44 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 14 mph shifting to the south
                    around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....410-660 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.35-0.57 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 PM. Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....420-610 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....460 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-170815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
810 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 16 to 21 mph. Gusts up to 36
                    mph decreasing to 26 mph overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....190-260 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.17-0.49 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    rain showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......36 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 17 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 18 mph in the afternoon. Gusts
                    up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3200-3700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1080-1140 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.14-0.47 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around 26
                    mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1800-2300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....470-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) until 5 PM, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2900-3400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....340 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-170815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
810 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 11 PM, then rain showers and a chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 32
                    mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....190-270 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.33 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 11 AM. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......37 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 16 mph in the afternoon. Gusts
                    up to 26 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph shifting to the southwest
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....880-1020 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.19-0.61 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....480-580 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....420-430 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-170815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
810 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 11 PM. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to
                    around 32 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....180-220 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.26 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 11 AM. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......35 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 16 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 17 mph in the afternoon. Gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph shifting to the southwest
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1130-1140 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.19-0.59 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....520-620 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....360-380 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening, then
a chance of showers overnight. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds 16 to
21 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. West winds 14 to
19 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. West winds
7 to 12 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 9 to 14 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper
50s.

$$
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