860
FNUS73 KGRR 120728
FWSGRR

Spot Forecast for Baldwin 3 RX...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
328 AM EDT Sun May 12 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on May 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (616) 949-5150, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Skies should be mostly sunny into mid afternoon. Light winds may
be in place around ignition time but winds are expected to
increase by early afternoon. While clouds may increase through the
afternoon, showers and not expected until this evening and tonight.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Increasing clouds in the afternoon.
Temperature.........61 at ignition...Max 73.
RH..................51 percent at ignition...Min 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 12 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    South winds 5 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 13 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3800 ft
                    AGL.
Mixing winds........South 7 to 16 mph shifting to the southwest 17
                    to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....320 /good/ at ignition. Max...880 /excellent/.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
Sky (%).........15     15     25     45     55     85
Weather cov.....                                   CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                                   ISOLTD
Temp............58     65     72     73     72     67
RH..............51     40     33     34     38     50
20 ft wind......S 12   S 13   S 14   SW 15  S 14   SW 14
20 ft wind gust.17     20     22     23     22     21
Mix hgt (ft)....2000   3500   3600   3400   2300   800
Mixing wind.....S 16   SW 21  SW 24  SW 25  SW 24  SW 14
Haines index....5      5      5      5      5      3
Smoke disprsl...320    720    860    860    550    110

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers
                    likely in the evening. Isolated thunderstorms
                    through the night.
Temperature.........Min 52.
RH..................Max 96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 13 to 14 mph shifting to the
                    west around 13 mph through about 2 am, then
                    shifting to the southwest 7 to 13 mph after
                    midnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 12 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....160 (fair) early in the evening decreasing to
                    60 (poor) late in the night.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers and thunderstorms.
Temperature.........Max 72.
RH..................Min 52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 9 mph in the evening. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 9 to 12 mph shifting to the northwest late
                    in the day.
Smoke dispersal.....80 (poor) early in the morning increasing to
                    290 (fair) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Maczko
Requested by...Joshua Nichlos
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413780.0/GRR
.DELDT 05/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Joshua.nichlos@usda.gov