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000
FNUS73 KMPX 241013
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Kelly-Meyer WMA Rx Burn...MN DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
513 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...For the Kelly-Meyer WMA Rx Burn, skies will be
mostly sunny today with a few high clouds moving through from west
to east midday. This will allow highs today to be in the upper 50s
to low 60s. Dry conditions are expected, with relative humidity
values forecasted to be in the low 60s this morning before
dropping into the mid-low 30s by the afternoon. Winds will
generally be southeasterly at 5-10 MPH.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Temperature.........44 at ignition...Max 59.
RH..................55 percent at ignition...Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 7 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise South winds around 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /15600 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /46600 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
Sky cover.......CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............44  47  50  52  56  57  58  59  58  58  55  51
RH..............55  51  48  46  42  40  39  36  37  37  43  50
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  12  10  12  10  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.7 3.5 4.0 4.9 5.5 5.8 5.8 6.0 4.9 0.6 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   SE  S
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   8   9   8   8   9   10  10  9   9
Haines index....3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Temperature.........Min 40.
RH..................Max 67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (54000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Temperature.........Max 67.
RH..................Min 35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (101500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (79200
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 23 mph increasing to 23 to 24 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Dettmann
Requested by...Nicholas Snavely
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411556.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Nicholas.Snavely@state.mn.us