Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Quad Cities, IA IL

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000
FNUS73 KDVN 261311
FWSDVN

Spot Forecast for Cone Marsh Burn Unit B...DNR
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
811 AM CDT Thu Apr 26 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the
National Weather Service Quad Cities at (563) 386-3815.

.DISCUSSION...

Mainly dry conditions through the end of the work week.
The GFDI will be very high on Friday due to mild temperatures,
low RH and gusty northwest winds.

The Grassland Fire Danger Index -GFDI- does not account for
precipitation that occurs or any snow on the ground. Please
make appropriate adjustments.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...None.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming west 5 to 7 mph late in
                    the morning.
Wind shift..........None.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 7 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......300-1500 ft AGL increasing to 5200-6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 6 mph shifting to the west 6 to
                    14 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
GFDI..........Moderate.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........18     25     31     35     41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      10
Temp............54     64     68     70     70
RH..............53     37     28     24     24
20 ft wind......S 2    SW 4   W 5    W 6    W 5
20 ft wind gust.5      5      10     10     10
Eye level wind..S 2    SW 3   W 4    W 4    W 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.5      5      10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....2700   4500   5800   6300   6200
Transport wind..SW 6   W 8    W 10   W 12   W 14
Haines index....3      3      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...None.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Wind shift..........None.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......5500-5800 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph decreasing to 5 to 10
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
GFDI..........Low to Moderate.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........44     51     57     28     10     5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     0      0
Temp............69     64     57     52     48     43
RH..............27     37     52     61     67     76
20 ft wind......W 5    W 5    NW 6   NW 6   NW 6   NW 5
20 ft wind gust.10     10     15     15     10     10
Eye level wind..W 4    W 4    NW 5   NW 5   NW 4   NW 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.10     10     15     15     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....5800   3700   300    300    300    300
Transport wind..W 15   W 18   NW 21  N 15   NW 8   NW 6
Haines index....4      4      4      4      3      2

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...None.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Eye level winds.....West winds 5 to 14 mph increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph early in the afternoon, gusts arund 30 to 35 mph.
Wind shift..........None.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 14 mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph
                    in the afternoon, gusts 35 to 40 mph.
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL increasing to 9400-10500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 10 mph increasing to 37 to 40 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.
GFDI..........Moderate to high in the morning, very high in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........5      4      3      9      20     35
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............40     47     59     65     68     69
RH..............82     61     40     31     28     28
20 ft wind......NW 4   W 5    W 6    W 10   W 13   W 14
20 ft wind gust.5             10     25     30     30
Eye level wind..NW 3   W 4    W 4    W 7    W 10   W 10
Eye lvl wnd gst.5             10     25     30     30
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1400   3800   6600   8800   10500
Transport wind..NW 3   W 7    W 14   W 21   W 31   W 40
Haines index....2      4      5      4      4      5

$$
Forecaster...Speck
Requested by...Kyle Syfert
Type of request...Prescribed
.TAG 1807937.0/DVN



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