Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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057
FNUS73 KGRR 241242
FWSGRR

Spot Forecast for Pelton Muskegan Area General Rx...MDNR
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
842 AM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (616) 949-5150, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
The day will feature mainly cloudy skies with some scattered light
rain showers/sprinkles.  Surface winds are expected to be rather
light for this burn.  Indications are that they will start off from
the east southeast...but will back to the northeast by mid afternoon
and may go calm for a while. With the clouds and some precipitation
around humidity levels will be higher than Monday.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Temperature.........59 at ignition...Max 62.
RH..................64 percent at ignition...Min 55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 7 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northeast winds 5 to 10
                    mph shifting to the north late in the day.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3700-4200
                    ft AGL decreasing to 1600-2100 ft AGL late in
                    the day.
Mixing winds........North 5 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 /fair/ at ignition. Max...200 /fair/.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
Sky (%).........88     92     95     94     89     78
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............59     61     62     62     59     56
RH..............64     62     60     56     55     57
20 ft wind......SE 7   E 7    NE 7   NW 7   N 8    N 9
20 ft wind gust.                                   10
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   3900   3900   2700   1600   1200
Haines index....2      3      3      3      3      3
Smoke Dispersal 200    200    200    100    100    100

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (10-20 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the evening.
Temperature.........Min 39.
RH..................Max 82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 8 to 13 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........Max 54.
RH..................Min 43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Sekelsky
Requested by...Lee Osterland
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807568.0/GRR
.EMAIL osterlandl@michigan.gov



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