Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
375 FXUS64 KBMX 120507 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1107 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1103 PM CST THU DEC 11 2025 - Cold and windy conditions expected Sunday. Temperatures will fall through the day with wind chills in the 20s for the northern half of Central AL through the afternoon. - Dangerously cold temperatures expected Sunday night through Monday morning with wind chill values dropping to 10-15 degrees (with a chance at a few single digits far north) by Monday morning. && .DISCUSSION... (Friday through Thursday) Issued at 1103 PM CST THU DEC 11 2025 Slightly warmer conditions expected today and Saturday with highs reaching into the 60s. Enjoy that while you can - a weak boundary that is stalled across Central AL will lead to increasing rain chances on Saturday, but we`re not expecting anything widespread. A much stronger cold front pushes southward into the area late Saturday night into Sunday morning, leading to continued rain chances. Rain amounts will generally be light with less than 0.25" expected. The more impactful story in this is the very cold continental polar air mass that is behind the cold front. This will easily be some of the coldest temperatures we`ve seen so far this season. Temperatures will generally continue to fall through the day on Sunday with wind chills in the low 20s across the north and upper 30s in the south for much of the day. Monday won`t be much better with low temperatures in the morning in the mid-teens to low 20s for all of Central AL. Wind Chills will run generally in the 10-15 degree range during the early morning hours. High temperatures on Monday will run in the upper 30s to low 40s. Temperatures begin to moderate Tuesday into Wednesday as the center of the high shifts more to the east, leading to slightly warmer southerly flow. We`ll have increasing rain chances on Thursday with the potential for our next system, but guidance has fluctuated quite a bit on the timing, so the probability of rain 25/Owen && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1103 PM CST THU DEC 11 2025 VFR conditions are expected through the next 24 hours. Winds will be light to calm overnight, increasing out the Southwest during the day on Friday to around 8-10kts and becoming light to calm again generally after 00z. 25/Owen && .FIRE WEATHER... Rain-free conditions expected today with increasing rain chances Saturday ahead of our next cold front. This cold front is expected to move through Central AL Saturday night through Sunday with a very dry air mass behind it. Northerly winds expected Sunday with the frontal passage with gusts up to 15-20mph and RHs in the 30% range, though temperatures will remain in the 30s-40s. Low RHs will be the story for Monday as the dry air mass settles into the region. High temperatures will remain near 40. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 31 62 34 60 / 0 0 0 10 Anniston 34 62 39 63 / 0 0 0 10 Birmingham 37 62 40 62 / 0 0 0 10 Tuscaloosa 35 65 41 62 / 0 0 10 10 Calera 34 64 40 64 / 0 0 10 20 Auburn 36 63 45 64 / 0 0 10 20 Montgomery 34 67 45 66 / 0 0 10 20 Troy 34 67 46 67 / 0 0 10 20 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...25/Owen AVIATION...25/Owen