606
FNUS53 KDTX 061946
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
346 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

.DISCUSSION...A warm front moves into Southern Michigan Tuesday
providing a chance for showers and thunderstorms. Warm, dry, and
breezy conditions are expected Wednesday. RHs minimize near 40
percent with westerly afternoon gusts in excess of 25 mph.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-062115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
346 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....40-44.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........73-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (21).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 11 am until 2 pm, then chance
                    of showers and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 5 pm, then showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....64-70.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3620-4120 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (694).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 am. Chance of precipitation 50
                    percent.
Min temperature.....50-54.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 10 mph becoming southwest in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......960-1160 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming west after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (24).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6050-6550 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1342).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-062115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
346 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 41.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........78-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......720-920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (17).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 2 pm until 5 pm, then chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....64-68.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3590-4090 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (639).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms until 11 pm,
                    then chance of showers until 2 am. Chance
                    of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....48-54.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 10 mph becoming southwest
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......960-1160 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming west after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (32).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6120-6620 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1320).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-062115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
346 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....42-48.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........76-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......760-960 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (19).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 11 am until 2 pm, then chance
                    of showers and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 5 pm, then showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2990-3490 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (585).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms until 11 pm,
                    then chance of showers until 2 am. Chance
                    of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....52-58.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........86-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 10 mph becoming southwest in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......920-1120 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming southwest in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (24).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....74-78.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7280-7780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1603).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. North winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs around 70.

$$

KGK