National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FXUS64 KJAN 120015
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
715 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 300 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

Tonight through Wednesday: Much quieter weather is expected as we
finish up the week and go through the weekend and into early next
week. The upper trough crossing the forecast area today will
continue moving east of us tonight with much drier air continuing
to surge in behind it in northwest flow. Expect surface wind to
diminish this evening, but wind may get a bit gusty during peak
heating Friday, especially for eastern MS. As we go through the
weekend, a longwave ridge will slowly migrate eastward across the
central CONUS, and this will control weather for the forecast
area, bringing dry conditions and warming temperatures. The ridge
will deflect shortwave troughs around region, but we should begin
to them get closer by mid week as the mean ridge axis shifts to
our east, and this will result in increasing shower chances over
northwest portions of the area. Otherwise, expect southerly wind
to pick up some early to mid next week with surface high pressure
shifting to our east resulting in a tightening pressure gradient
and increased mixing. /EC/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 711 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

In the wake of the upper trough, expect VFR conditions to prevail
through the forecast period with gusty surface wind diminishing
this evening after 12/01-02Z. Some low-level wind shear (LLWS) is
psbl around 2kft up to 40-45kts this evening through around
daybreak. Sfc winds will pick back up some during peak heating
Friday after 12/15-16Z. /DC/EC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       46  73  49  81 /   0   0   0   0
Meridian      45  74  46  82 /   0   0   0   0
Vicksburg     46  74  50  81 /   0   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   47  75  48  82 /   0   0   0   0
Natchez       46  74  50  81 /   0   0   0   0
Greenville    47  72  52  79 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     46  72  50  79 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

EC/DC