Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 222343
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
643 PM CDT Sun Jul 22 2018

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR with few clouds under the ridge. E to SE wind will prevail at
most TAF sites overnight with a brief shift to the N expected at
CNM and HOB tomorrow due to a sagging front.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 222 PM CDT Sun Jul 22 2018/

DISCUSSION...

Large, dry and hot subtropical ridge will remain the dominant
weather influence across west Texas and southeast New Mexico
through Monday. Record to near record high temperatures are
anticipated through Monday in this regime. Strong subsidence
will squash any chance of convection, even in the mountains.

Some relief is on the way beyond Monday, next week, as a cold
front moves through the forecast area Monday night and early
Tuesday. This will occur as an upper level storm system moves
across southern Canada and the subtropical ridge shifts west into
Arizona. Northerly flow aloft will develop and allow occasional
disturbances to track into the region and along with upslope flow
allow isolated to scattered thunderstorms to develop. A fair
portion of this activity should occur over the mountains and the
plains immediately adjacent to them.

Temperatures for much of next week will still be above normal,
but several degrees cooler than recent days.

CLIMATE...
Record high temperatures are anticipated at the Midland
International Air and Space Port through Monday.

Date                   Record    Date   Forecast High

Sunday July 22nd        103      2001       104
Monday July 23rd        105      1995       107

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     76 106  76  93 /   0   0  10  10
Carlsbad                       71 105  72  92 /   0   0  10  10
Dryden                         76 109  81 102 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  74 106  73  94 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 74  96  66  87 /   0   0   0  10
Hobbs                          71 103  66  90 /   0   0  10  10
Marfa                          60  99  59  92 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           74 107  74  96 /   0   0  10  10
Odessa                         75 107  71  95 /   0   0  10  10
Wink                           71 108  74  98 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Heat Advisory until 7 PM MDT Monday for Central Lea County-Eddy
     County Plains-Northern Lea County-Southern Lea County.

TX...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ Monday for Andrews-Big
     Bend Area-Borden-Crane-Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Dawson-
     Ector-Gaines-Glasscock-Howard-Loving-Marfa Plateau-Martin-
     Midland-Mitchell-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Reagan-Reeves County
     and Upper Trans Pecos-Scurry-Terrell-Upton-Van Horn and
     Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-Winkler.

&&

$$



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