Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 230452
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1152 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Few to broken high clouds and light winds should remain common for
the CWA overnight tonight. During the day Wednesday...isolated to
scattered convection is forecast to develop and spread across the
CWA. Have added a Prob30 group to TUL/RVS/MLC late morning based
on latest CAM runs and continued VCTS for the afternoon hours for
the CWA. Convection looks to decrease again Wednesday evening with
mostly light winds and high clouds again. VFR conditions should
continue through the majority of the TAF period with the potential
for MVFR conditions within any convection.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 923 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
Afternoon convection has waned and updated forecast will remove
mention of overnight precip. The deep moist profile on 00z KSHV
sounding is an indication of the airmass poised to spread
northward allowing for an earlier start to more widespread precip
likely for Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   68  86  68  87 /  10  40  20  40
FSM   67  87  68  89 /  10  50  20  40
MLC   66  86  67  86 /  10  50  20  50
BVO   65  85  66  86 /  10  40  20  40
FYV   64  83  65  84 /  10  50  20  50
BYV   64  83  64  84 /  10  50  20  40
MKO   67  85  67  86 /  10  50  20  50
MIO   65  85  66  85 /  10  40  20  40
F10   66  84  67  86 /  10  40  20  50
HHW   68  87  68  86 /  10  40  20  40

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$


AVIATION.....20



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