River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 170050
RVFGRN
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
7:50pm EST Saturday, February 16, 2019

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://weather.gov/erh/mmefs


: Bowling Green - Barren River - LMK
: Zero Datum 409.83 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Warren County, KY
: Record River Stage     52.2 ft
: Major River Stage      45.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   32.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      28.0 ft
: Action River Stage     26.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 15           /  12.6 /  12.0 /  11.4
:     Feb 16   /  11.1 /  10.7 /  10.6 /  10.8
:     Feb 17   /  11.5
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 11.6 ft at 645pm EST on Sat, Feb 16
:
.ER BWGK2 20190217 Z DC201902170050/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 17 :         /  12.4 /  14.2 /  14.5
.E2 : Feb 18 : /  14.7 /  15.0 /  16.1 /  17.1
.E3 : Feb 19 : /  17.4 /  17.2 /  16.8 /  16.3
.E4 : Feb 20 : /  15.8 /  15.4 /  15.0 /  14.6
.E5 : Feb 21 : /  14.3 /  14.0 /  13.8 /  13.6
.E6 : Feb 22 : /  13.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 15   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 16   /  0.11 /  0.36 /  0.13 /  0.00
:     Feb 17   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17           /  0.00 /  0.18 /  0.23
:     Feb 18   /  0.05 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14           /   4.4 /   4.7 /   9.1
:     Feb 15   /  13.4 /  13.0 /  11.9 /   6.9
:     Feb 16   /   4.6 /   1.4 /  -0.4 /   0.4
:     Feb 17   /   5.2 /   3.1 /   4.0 /   7.2
:     Feb 18   /  10.1 /   7.0 /   3.3 /   2.6
:     Feb 19   /   4.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: Woodbury - Green River - LMK
: Zero Datum 373.13 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Butler County, KY
: Record River Stage     58.9 ft
: Major River Stage      41.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   38.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      26.0 ft
: Action River Stage     24.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 12PM EST on Tue, Feb 19
.AR WDHK2 20190220 Z DC201902170050/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest:   26.2
: Crest near   26.2 ft around 7AM EST on Wed, Feb 20
: Fall below flood level around 2PM EST on Sun, Feb 17
: Fall below flood level around 3AM EST on Thu, Feb 21
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 15           /  33.7 /  33.3 /  32.8
:     Feb 16   /  32.2 /  31.4 /  30.5 /  29.5
:     Feb 17   /  28.5
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 28.5 ft at 700pm EST on Sat, Feb 16
:
.ER WDHK2 20190217 Z DC201902170050/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 17 :         /  27.6 /  26.7 /  26.1
.E2 : Feb 18 : /  25.7 /  25.3 /  25.3 /  25.4
.E3 : Feb 19 : /  25.6 /  25.8 /  25.9 /  26.0
.E4 : Feb 20 : /  26.1 /  26.1 /  26.2 /  26.1
.E5 : Feb 21 : /  26.1 /  26.0 /  25.9 /  25.8
.E6 : Feb 22 : /  25.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 15   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 16   /  0.08 /  0.27 /  0.08 /  0.00
:     Feb 17   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17           /  0.00 /  0.15 /  0.15
:     Feb 18   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14           /   4.1 /   4.8 /   8.8
:     Feb 15   /  13.3 /  12.6 /  11.3 /   4.9
:     Feb 16   /   3.7 /   0.4 /  -1.4 /  -0.2
:     Feb 17   /   4.7 /   2.5 /   3.2 /   6.2
:     Feb 18   /   9.1 /   6.1 /   2.5 /   2.0
:     Feb 19   /   4.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Rochester Ferry - Green River - LMK
: Zero Datum 372.6 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Ohio County, KY
: Record River Stage     41.6 ft
: Major River Stage      30.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   25.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      17.0 ft
: Action River Stage     14.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Fall below flood level around 2PM EST on Thu, Feb 21
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 15           /  23.9E/  23.6 /  23.4E
:     Feb 16   /  23.3E/  23.1E/  23.1E/  23.0E
:     Feb 17   /  22.9E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage MISSING
:
.ER RCHK2 20190217 Z DC201902170050/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 17 :         /  22.5 /  22.4 /  22.0
.E2 : Feb 18 : /  21.5 /  21.0 /  20.5 /  19.9
.E3 : Feb 19 : /  19.4 /  18.9 /  18.6 /  18.2
.E4 : Feb 20 : /  18.0 /  17.7 /  17.6 /  17.4
.E5 : Feb 21 : /  17.3 /  17.2 /  17.1 /  17.0
.E6 : Feb 22 : /  16.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 15   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 16   /  0.08 /  0.24 /  0.04 /  0.00
:     Feb 17   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17           /  0.00 /  0.13 /  0.10
:     Feb 18   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14           /   4.3 /   5.4 /   9.0
:     Feb 15   /  13.6 /  12.9 /  10.4 /   3.4
:     Feb 16   /   2.7 /  -0.3 /  -2.0 /  -0.5
:     Feb 17   /   4.4 /   2.1 /   2.8 /   5.3
:     Feb 18   /   8.3 /   5.3 /   1.9 /   1.6
:     Feb 19   /   3.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Paradise - Green River - PAH
: Zero Datum 363.19 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Muhlenberg County, KY
: Record River Stage    403.7 ft
: Major River Stage     400.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage  386.0 ft
: Flood River Stage     380.0 ft
: Action River Stage    378.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 15           / 391.5 / 391.6 / 391.7
:     Feb 16   / 391.7 / 391.8 / 391.8 / 391.8
:     Feb 17   / 391.7
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 391.7 ft at 715pm EST on Sat, Feb 16
:
.ER PRDK2 20190217 Z DC201902170050/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 17 :         / 391.6 / 391.5 / 391.3
.E2 : Feb 18 : / 391.1 / 390.8 / 390.5 / 390.0
.E3 : Feb 19 : / 389.5 / 389.0 / 388.5 / 388.0
.E4 : Feb 20 : / 387.6 / 387.3 / 387.0 / 386.7
.E5 : Feb 21 : / 386.5 / 386.3 / 386.1 / 386.0
.E6 : Feb 22 : / 385.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 15   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 16   /  0.10 /  0.30 /  0.06 /  0.00
:     Feb 17   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17           /  0.00 /  0.15 /  0.10
:     Feb 18   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14           /   4.4 /   5.7 /   9.2
:     Feb 15   /  13.8 /  12.8 /  10.0 /   3.4
:     Feb 16   /   2.4 /  -0.2 /  -2.3 /  -1.1
:     Feb 17   /   3.5 /   1.9 /   2.9 /   5.6
:     Feb 18   /   8.3 /   5.2 /   1.7 /   1.4
:     Feb 19   /   3.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: Calhoun - Green River - PAH
: Zero Datum 353.95 ft (NGVD 1929)
: McLean County, KY
: Record Pool Stage     43.8 ft
: Major Pool Stage      32.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   26.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     18.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR CALK2 20190218 Z DC201902170050/DUE/DQG/DH00/HPIFFX :crest:   29.8
: Crest near   29.8 ft around 7PM EST on Sun, Feb 17
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 15           /  28.7 /  28.8 /  29.0
:     Feb 16   /  29.1 /  29.2 /  29.3 /  29.4
:     Feb 17   /  29.5
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 29.5 ft at 700pm EST on Sat, Feb 16
:
.ER CALK2 20190217 Z DC201902170050/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 17 :         /  29.6 /  29.7 /  29.8
.E2 : Feb 18 : /  29.8 /  29.8 /  29.7 /  29.6
.E3 : Feb 19 : /  29.5 /  29.3 /  29.1 /  28.8
.E4 : Feb 20 : /  28.5 /  28.1 /  27.6 /  27.1
.E5 : Feb 21 : /  26.6 /  26.0 /  25.5 /  24.9
.E6 : Feb 22 : /  24.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 15   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 16   /  0.04 /  0.15 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 17   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17           /  0.00 /  0.07 /  0.04
:     Feb 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14           /   4.5 /   6.1 /   9.4
:     Feb 15   /  13.6 /  12.2 /   7.9 /   1.5
:     Feb 16   /   0.8 /  -1.7 /  -2.8 /  -1.0
:     Feb 17   /   3.6 /   1.7 /   2.2 /   4.5
:     Feb 18   /   7.2 /   4.4 /   1.2 /   1.1
:     Feb 19   /   3.1
:____________________________________________________________________
$$
: Fliehman
:...END of MESSAGE...




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