763
FGUS86 KMTR 031948
RVSMTR
CAC085-040315-

Hydrologic Statement
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
1148 AM PST Sat Feb 3 2024

...Special River Statement for the Guadalupe River at Alamedan
Expressway...

* WHAT...The Guadalupe River at Alamedan Expressway is forecast to
  rise into Monitor Stage (7.5 ft) on Sunday morning. The river may
  rise above Flood Stage (9.5 ft) Sunday later in the morning,
  potentially cresting around 10.11 ft Sunday around 10 AM PST.
  Latest ensemble guidance suggests there is a 37% probability of
  the river reaching Monitor Stage (7.5 ft) by early Sunday morning
  and a 23% probability of reaching Flood Stage (9.5 ft) later in
  the morning on Sunday. Given these low probabilities, confidence
  is low for issuance of a River Flood Warning at this time. We will
  continue to monitor and upgrade if necessary as confidence
  increases. The most recent stage was 2.14 feet at 11:15 am PST.

* WHERE...Guadalupe River at Alamedan Expressway.

* WHEN...Sunday.


Stream             Fld   Observed            Fcast-11 am PST
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time      Sun   Mon   Tue

Guadalupe River
Alamaden Expresswa 9.5   2.1   Sat 11 am PST 9.9   6.0   4.3

To receive the latest hydrologic information, tune into NOAA Weather
Radio or head to the California Nevada River Forecast Center website
at https://cnrfc.noaa.gov/rfc_guidance.php

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