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000
FNUS73 KFGF 141020
FWSFGF

Spot Forecast for R SE...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
520 AM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on April 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...

Temperatures warm to the lower 70s while dry conditions will
support minimum RH values in the 18 to 20 percent range in the
area of the spot near northwest Richland county southeast of
McLeod. Winds shouldn`t be as strong, though a few gusts around 15
mph may be be possible from the northwest then north during the
afternoon. Rain chances increase later tonight into Monday, with
the wettest days Monday night through Tuesday night. There is a 90
percent chance for wetting rain, and a 50 percent chance for at
least 1 inch of rain in southeast North Dakota during the Monday
night through Tuesday night period.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........North 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....3400 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to
                    81700 knot-ft in the afternoon increasing to
                    (92000 knot-ft) in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   2   2   2   1   2   2   5   3   4   6   9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............46  45  46  49  56  60  63  66  68  70  70  70
RH..............68  68  69  71  57  44  34  24  20  19  18  18
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.8   6   8   14  14  14  18  20  20  19  19  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.2 2.6 4.8 6.4 6.8 6.9 7.3 7.1
Mixing wind dir.N   N   NW  N   NW  N   N   N   NW  N   N   N
Mixing wind spd.15  15  10  10  10  15  20  20  20  20  15  15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   4   3   6   12  31  82  114 115 111 102 92

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-70 percent).
                    Chance of rain after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........North 10 to 15 mph shifting to the east in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....70900 knot-ft early in the evening decreasing
                    to 2400 knot-ft late in the night.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........17     38     46     58     50     61
Weather cov.....                                   CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN
Tstm cov........
Temp............71     65     57     54     49     48
RH..............18     27     43     50     58     63
20 ft wind......N 10   N 5    E 5    SE 5   E 5    E 10
20 ft wind gust.14     9      8      9      12     14
Mix hgt (ft)....6400   700    300    400    400    400
Mixing wind.....N 15   N 10   NE 10  NE 10  E 10   E 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..71     6      2      3      4      5

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    through the day. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    early in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 23
                    mph shifting to the southeast around 20 mph
                    with gusts to around 32 mph late in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........East 15 to 20 mph increasing to southeast 25 to
                    30 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....7800 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to
                    77200 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........69        67        77        74
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....RAIN      RAIN      RAIN      RAIN
Tstm cov........                              S CHC
Temp............46        48        58        63
RH..............71        68        49        39
20 FT wind......E 10G14   E 15G22   SE 20G27  SE 20G30
Mix hgt (ft)....600       900       2200      3000
Mixing wind.....E 15      E 20      SE 25     SE 30
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8         17        48        73

$$
Forecaster...DJR
Requested by...Erik Danko
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410673.0/FGF
.DELDT 04/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL erik.danko@usda.gov