Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
665
FNUS71 KALY 020304
FWSALY
Spot Forecast for Hop Brook WMA Rx Fire...MassWildlife
National Weather Service Albany NY
1104 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on May 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Outside of some light showers possible north and east of Albany
tonight due to a passing disturbance, primarily dry conditions are
expected throughout the remainder of the work week.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Dewpoint............49.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the
northwest 13 to 15 mph with gusts to around 26
mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 17 mph shifting to the
northwest 17 to 26 mph in the late morning and
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7200 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (104500 knot-ft) in the
afternoon increasing to excellent (102900
knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........77 74 72 64 57 49 47 46 44 43 42 41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............50 50 51 54 58 61 64 67 68 69 69 68
Dewpoint........48 49 50 51 51 51 51 50 49 48 48 47
RH..............93 96 96 90 77 70 63 54 51 47 47 47
20 FT wind dir..S SW SW SW W W W W W NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..7 6 6 7 8 10 12 13 14 14 15 14
20 FT wind gust.9 8 8 17 17 20 22 24 25 26 26 26
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 1.1 1.8 2.5 3.3 4.0 4.6 5.0 5.1 5.0 4.5
Transp wind dir.S SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.14 15 17 17 17 17 20 22 24 26 26 26
LVORI...........5 6 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
Haines index....5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7 11 17 25 36 49 69 89 105 113 113 103
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Dewpoint............46.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 7 to 13 mph with gusts to
around 24 mph shifting to the east 5 to 6 mph
overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 23 mph shifting to the north 9
to 13 mph in the late evening and overnight,
then shifting to the northeast 9 to 10 mph
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (76000 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (2900 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............4.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........39 37 35 39 44 49 51 52 54 57 59 62
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............65 62 59 57 56 54 52 51 49 47 46 46
Dewpoint........47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 46 46 45 45
RH..............52 58 64 69 72 77 83 86 89 96 96 96
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW N N N NE NE E E E
20 FT wind spd..13 12 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.24 17 15 13 10 9 9 8 8 8 8 9
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 2.2 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW N N N N NE NE NE E E
Transp wind spd.23 20 15 13 10 9 9 9 9 9 10 10
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 7 6 6
Haines index....2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..76 42 14 4 3 5 4 4 5 5 6 8
Ventrate Cat....GD FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Dewpoint............45.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......East winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the southeast
around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast
around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10300 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (30700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........61 60 60 60 61 61 61 60 60 61 62 63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............47 48 49 52 54 57 59 61 63 63 64 63
Dewpoint........45 45 45 M M 45 M M 45 M M 46
RH..............93 89 86 77 71 64 60 56 52 54 52 54
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..6 6 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.9 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.6 3.1 3.6 4.0 4.3 4.4 4.2
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.10 12 12 12 10 9 9 8 8 8 8 8
LVORI...........5 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1
Haines index....3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10 13 16 18 19 21 23 26 28 30 31 29
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
$$
Forecaster...JPV
Requested by...Alex Entrup
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412999.0/ALY
.DELDT 05/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alex.entrup@mass.gov