Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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Spot Forecast for GMFL FR10 RXs...USFS
National Weather Service Burlington VT
630 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 EDT on April 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure and dry air over the region will keep RH lower than
usual through Saturday morning. Overnight recoveries are expected
to be slightly higher than last night in the 70-80% range.
Dew point temperatures will be rising through the day Saturday as
a weak system moves into the Northeast bringing some showers
Saturday night into early Sunday. Rain amounts will be less than
0.1", so it will not be considered a wetting rain, but will aid in
RH recovery. A very isolated thunderstorm may be possible Saturday
night into Sunday afternoon with about a 10% chance of occurrence.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light, then becoming southeast
                    5 to 6 mph late in the evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 7 mph shifting to the south
                    around 8 mph after 3 am.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........3      3      1      1      1      1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............52     43     39     37     34     34
RH..............31     45     52     54     61     64
20 ft wind......NW 5   N 3    E 3    SE 5   SE 6   SE 6
20 ft wind gust.7      6      6      6      8      8
Mix hgt (ft)....4700   600    500    500    400    300
Transport wind..NW 7   N 6    E 7    E 8    SE 9   SE 8
Haines index....4      4      4      4      3      3

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........3      13     37     41     64     69
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............34     40     50     55     57     59
RH..............66     59     44     40     38     36
20 ft wind......SE 6   S 6    S 7    S 8    SW 8   SW 9
20 ft wind gust.7      9      10     12     13     13
Mix hgt (ft)....400    800    3300   4700   5100   4500
Transport wind..S 7    S 9    S 9    S 10   S 14   S 14
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the evening. Chance of
                    rain showers in the late evening and overnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........81     50     65     74     75     76
Weather cov.....              CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      30     30     40     40     40
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............56     50     48     45     43     42
RH..............40     52     56     68     82     89
20 ft wind......SW 8   S 8    S 9    S 10   S 9    S 9
20 ft wind gust.12
Mix hgt (ft)....3200   800    1000   800    700    600
Transport wind..S 14   S 12   S 14   S 14   S 13   S 12
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the morning, then slight
                    chance of rain showers late in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0800, then 2 until 0900, then 1.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the west
                    around 7 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph shifting to the west 12
                    to 13 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........74     69     78     76     63     76
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........       S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40     30     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      2      1      1      1      1
Temp............43     46     49     55     61     63
RH..............89     86     86     77     70     70
20 ft wind......S 8    SW 7   SW 6   SW 6   SW 7   SW 7
20 ft wind gust.                     7      8      9
Mix hgt (ft)....600    600    1200   1600   2100   1800
Transport wind..S 10   SW 10  SW 9   SW 10  W 13   W 12
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Boyd
Requested by...Ryan Hughes
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412573.0/BTV
.DELDT 04/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL eric.hughes@usda.gov