National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FNUS51 KBUF 132334
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
733 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Deep low pressure will continue withdrawing northward across
northern Quebec through this evening. This will allow winds to
slowly diminish from west to east. High pressure will then cross the
area tonight and bring a BRIEF interlude of dry weather and lighter
winds...before a compact and fast-moving area of low pressure
crosses the area on Sunday. This will result in another round of
widespread showers along with a few thunderstorms. In the wake of
this system...high pressure will build in Sunday night and bring a
return to drier weather that will then last through Tuesday.

NYZ201-140800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
733 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0           90           70            0
Precip type                      None      Showers      Showers         None
Min/Max Temp                       35           59           38           57
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  6                      W  6
PM Wind (mph)                    W 14        SW  8        NW  6         W 10
Precip amount                    0.00         0.28         0.07         0.00
Precip duration                                  8            1
Precip begin                                  6 AM   Continuing
Precip end                              Continuing         8 PM
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           60          100           43
Haines Index                        3            2            2            3
LAL                                 1            3            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70         3290           70         7110
Transport wind (kt)              W 33         S 15        NW 15         W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                2310        49350         1050       156420
Dispersion Index                    2           49            1          156
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-140800-
Southern Tier-
733 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0           80           80            0
Precip type                      None        Tstms        Tstms         None
Min/Max Temp                       36           64           40           60
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  8                     NW  7
PM Wind (mph)                    W 14        SW 14         W  9         W 11
Precip amount                    0.00         0.19         0.10         0.00
Precip duration                                  5            2
Precip begin                                  9 AM   Continuing
Precip end                              Continuing        10 PM
Max/Min Humidity (%)               89           50          100           38
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            4            4            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70         4490           70         7180
Transport wind (kt)              W 31         W 30        NW 14         W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                2170       134700          980       143600
Dispersion Index                    2          135            1          144
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the lower 50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the upper 40s.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...East 5 to 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Southeast around 15 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...South around 10 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...West around 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$