Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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050
FNUS51 KBUF 112334
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
733 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024

.DISCUSSION...
A weak area of low pressure will slowly cross our region tonight,
resulting in widespread showers and possibly a few evening
thunderstorms. The precipitation will gradually taper off during the
day Sunday as weak high pressure noses into the area. While
noticeably warmer weather will move in for Monday, it will also
once again become unsettled with increasingly widespread
showers and thunderstorms that will persist into Tuesday.

NYZ201-120800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
733 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                     70           40            0           70
Precip type                   Showers      Showers         None        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       45           61           44           71
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  6                      S  9
PM Wind (mph)                   SE  6         S  6         S  5         S 12
Precip amount                    0.14         0.03         0.00         0.07
Precip duration                     7            2                         6
Precip begin                     6 PM   Continuing                      8 AM
Precip end                 Continuing         9 AM                Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           53          100           53
Haines Index                        3            3            3            2
LAL                                 3            1            1            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70         5850           70         3920
Transport wind (kt)              S 12         S  8         S  8        SW 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 840        46800          560        90160
Dispersion Index                    1           47            1           90
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-120800-
Southern Tier-
733 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                     80           50            0           60
Precip type                   Showers      Showers         None        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       43           59           41           73
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  5                      S 11
PM Wind (mph)                    S  7         W  6        SW  5        SW 13
Precip amount                    0.21         0.06         0.00         0.06
Precip duration                     7            2                         4
Precip begin                     6 PM   Continuing                      8 AM
Precip end                 Continuing         6 PM                Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           51          100           48
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 3            1            1            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70         7290           70         5370
Transport wind (kt)              S 12        NW  6        SW  9        SW 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 840        43740          630       123510
Dispersion Index                    1           44            1          124
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower
60s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the upper 60s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the upper 60s.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...South around 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...South around 10 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...North 5 to 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...North 5 to 10 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...East 5 to 10 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...East 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$