Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
009
WUUS01 KWNS 061604
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1102 AM CDT MON MAY 06 2024

VALID TIME 061630Z - 071200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   31230083 33390039 35820047 37950072 39330087 41900081
       44140163 44730291 44800449 45450541 46430588 46680443
       46420266 45780126 44299937 43789804 43189599 42629331
       42099053 41558915 38678893 36789043 34169329 32759499
       32159869 30539976 30600071 31230083
0.02   34278499 34598688 35718719 36788656 36268502 36058335
       35248321 34538382 34278499
0.05   33349965 33669997 34190013 34820007 36310002 37799996
       38760018 41270002 41809916 42579761 42679661 42359502
       42039225 40939024 36809252 34519439 33389558 33059706
       33039903 33349965
0.10   35039459 34459566 33899725 33869788 33929884 34079979
       34369987 35419973 37029962 38189942 39359890 40239827
       40699726 40639624 40379558 39139345 38219292 37699294
       36979333 35039459
0.15   38429824 38349615 37729548 37159526 36269533 34539670
       34179805 34149866 34189913 34399952 34519959 35079951
       37239917 38069891 38429824
0.30   34779775 34789855 35309888 36789868 37289858 37659808
       37659745 37509646 36989626 35489667 34929706 34779775
SIGN   34489566 33929720 33869800 33969898 34069978 34349989
       34969977 37049956 38179939 39279886 39979771 39979659
       39599563 38529487 38009449 37269449 35859475 34489566
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   29340213 29360215 29680191 31290125 33080064 34100077
       36460104 37870113 39900130 41120155 42040157 43780294
       44800448 45430539 46440589 46890453 46780277 45900076
       44249931 42739588 41379388 39039346 36629350 35139405
       33879472 32799569 32289686 30499890 29480023 29060110
0.05   33238290 33968879 35198852 36298724 36478565 36028329
       35298198 34258138 33418167 33238290
0.15   42669660 40129528 38339495 35849523 34449584 33399642
       33029687 32989815 33019905 33339962 33689998 34430049
       39300089 42990078 44590166 45260279 45860243 45790129
       43749930 42669660
0.30   36879985 38710018 40269988 40889883 40949834 40659742
       40119700 38429677 37019630 34609672 33919728 33919884
       34089979 34429987 35049979 36879985
0.45   34399903 34519959 37209917 38069890 38409830 38389749
       37779712 36989680 35449693 34689766 34539807 34399903
SIGN   33379965 34430049 39380090 40730083 41059938 41089822
       40989707 40379651 37459572 34839623 33059693 32999834
       33039905 33379965
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   29590192 33130064 36440104 39920131 41130156 42700140
       43310147 44310198 44750293 44790448 45440539 46440588
       46890453 46790274 45449839 43659440 42518943 40588806
       38988784 36848669 36398536 36058324 35328198 34328141
       33448164 33178282 33548531 34179085 34099219 33679326
       32759493 32289686 31489778 30609875 29510015 29100108
0.15   42049222 40949026 38909007 36669149 34379373 33389557
       33029687 32989815 33019903 34089979 34379987 36869984
       40230059 42970079 44580168 45250279 45870244 45780130
       44279936 42749589 42049222
0.30   34279841 35619866 37639873 38559906 39149938 39659951
       40279955 40519934 40879886 40969845 40979791 40999688
       40939461 40689335 39939262 38829260 37699294 36999331
       35009461 34469563 33909724 33919791 34279841
0.45   38369488 38029449 37279451 36309467 35859562 36029601
       36559635 37789651 38349614 38369488
SIGN   39799169 38789216 37749366 36899390 36279413 35289475
       35219586 36379710 37549795 38829841 39449851 40969842
       40989689 41309326 41039239 40609186 39799169
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

HIGH   37499644 36989626 35499667 34929706 34779772 34789855
       35309888 36779867 37309858 37659808 37659743 37499644
MDT    37239917 38079890 38419828 38359488 38029448 37279450
       36329466 35859561 34539670 34179805 34149866 34189913
       34399952 34519959 37239917
ENH    35079978 36879985 38700018 40269990 40879886 40969845
       40999688 40949462 40679333 39929261 38729263 37689295
       37009330 35029460 34459565 33899725 33929884 34079979
       34369987 35079978
SLGT   43000079 44580168 45250280 45870243 45790130 44279937
       42749589 42049225 40949025 38899006 36669149 34379373
       33389557 33029687 33019905 33349965 33669997 34440050
       39300089 43000079
MRGL   29600195 30540156 33120064 36460104 39920131 41130156
       42040157 43770292 44800450 45440540 46450590 46890455
       46790279 45449840 43649441 42518944 40568807 39018785
       36838670 36388535 36068325 35328198 34338140 33438164
       33178281 33548533 34169082 34089219 33669327 32739494
       32289686 30609875 29510015 29060110
TSTM   49479576 48359468 47619386 47079300 46289150 45128981
       43458813 41658654 41238613 40958574 40838522 40848365
       41018147 41357849 41707560 42227243 42537048 42736878
       99999999 29378050 29218079 28598104 28018138 27228127
       26558095 26018056 25528065 25348108 25578143 26058197
       26698231 27708240 28168266 28588294 29688410 30368458
       30948468 31258468 31628495 31698542 31548569 31348608
       30228813 29359005 29269116 29589305 29499510 28899688
       28509822 28559989 28560097 99999999 29290249 30890173
       32730112 33200102 34750120 37170169 40950223 41630294
       41890397 41830524 41490571 41150580 40700547 40110534
       39590575 39310637 39340720 39500793 39690901 39861074
       39921209 40121360 40241536 40421702 40601812 40811920
       41182051 41942178 43192320 44072405 45032475 99999999
       49531411 48391416 47561381 46581280 46131195 46201107
       46831062 47401059 48441098 49371158

&&
THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WSW
CNU 20 NW BVO 20 SSE CQB 45 N ADM 25 SSE CHK 15 NW FSI 20 E CSM AVK
P28 30 SSW HUT ICT 55 WSW CNU.

THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W
P28 55 S RSL 30 NW HUT 35 SSW OJC 60 SSE OJC 10 N JLN 20 SSE GMJ 20
NW MKO 25 NE ADM 30 ENE SPS 15 NW SPS 35 SSE LTS 25 SW LTS 20 WSW
LTS 35 W P28.

THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW
CSM 65 S DDC 50 SSW HLC 35 E MCK 15 NE EAR GRI 10 NNW LNK 45 WNW LWD
30 E LWD 15 SSW IRK 25 WSW COU 40 NE SGF 15 SSE SGF RKR 30 SSE MLC
30 SSW ADM 20 W SPS 35 SE CDS 25 ESE CDS 35 WSW CSM.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW
VTN 35 N PHP 40 ESE 2WX 15 WSW Y22 45 ESE Y22 35 N 9V9 35 NE SUX 30
WNW CID 35 WNW PIA ALN 20 ESE UNO 35 W HOT 20 SSW PRX 10 N DAL 55 NE
ABI 65 N ABI 55 SSE CDS 15 W CDS 45 E GLD 15 NW VTN.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE
6R6 50 NE 6R6 75 NW ABI 30 ESE GUY 45 WSW MCK 40 N IML 25 W MHN 20
SSE RAP 60 ENE GCC 4BQ MLS 20 SE GDV DIK ABR FRM 20 WSW JVL 35 NW
DNV 40 SE MTO 20 WSW BWG 35 NNW CSV 25 WNW HSS 30 N SPA 30 NNW CAE
20 ENE AGS 50 WSW AGS 30 E ANB 50 N GLH 15 WSW PBF 40 NW ELD 25 NNW
GGG 30 WNW CRS 60 E JCT 45 ENE DRT 25 SSW DRT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW RRT 50 SE RRT
50 E BJI 25 SSW HIB 35 WSW ASX 15 NNW AUW 35 NNW MKE 10 WSW SBN 35
SSE SBN 30 W FWA 10 SSW FWA 10 S FDY CAK 25 ENE DUJ 25 NNE AVP 15
ENE BAF 30 ENE BOS 100 SE PWM ...CONT... 35 ENE DAB 15 E DAB 20 E
ORL 25 N AGR 30 S AGR 55 W PBI 25 NW MIA 30 SW MIA 40 N MTH 45 SSE
APF 15 WSW APF 30 WNW FMY 25 NNE SRQ 15 N PIE 50 NNW PIE 50 SSE TLH
15 WSW TLH 30 ENE MAI 35 SW ABY 35 NE DHN 25 N DHN 20 NW DHN 35 S
TOI 30 SSE MOB 40 W BVE 35 SW HUM 40 SSE LCH 15 SE HOU VCT 35 WNW
NIR 40 W COT 55 S DRT ...CONT... 55 SSW 6R6 65 NNE 6R6 40 NNE BGS 55
SE LBB 45 SE AMA 15 NE EHA 40 ESE SNY 30 SSW AIA 15 SE TOR 40 NNE
LAR 10 N LAR 15 SSW LAR 30 NW FCL 30 SW FCL 50 WSW DEN 30 ENE ASE 20
WNW ASE 40 NE GJT 50 NNW GJT 15 N PUC 45 NNE U24 35 W DPG 45 SSE EKO
15 SSW BAM 25 SW WMC 60 NNW LOL 20 S AAT 15 S LMT 55 ESE OTH 35 S
ONP 45 NW ONP ...CONT... 85 N GPI GPI 45 NNE MSO 15 ESE 3DU 30 ENE
BTM 30 N BZN 45 NW 3HT 35 E GTF 55 W HVR 65 NE CTB.