Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA

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FNUS71 KLWX 041757
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Spot Forecast for NFFF Memorial Weekend...MDEM
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
157 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1400 EDT on May 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Cool conditions with temperatures in the 50s, and persistent
light rain continues at the event location through late afternoon.
For this evening through the first half of tonight, expect off
and on showers to continue, with some periods of dry conditions.

Shower activity will noticeably increase after midnight, with
steady showers/rain likely to continue through early afternoon
Sunday. Some of the rain could be heavy at times, possibly leading
to ponding of water in low-lying and poor drainage areas.

A brief break in shower activity Sunday early to mid afternoon,
then isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms move in from
the west during the late afternoon to early evening hours.
Lightning strikes and gusty winds to around 40 mph are the main
threats with any strong storm that develops near the event
location. Most of the shower/storm activity dissipates late Sunday
evening, though a few showers could linger into Sunday night.
Warmer temperatures in the upper 60s Sunday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........83 percent.
Surface winds (mph).East winds around 8 mph.

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100 100 100 100
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).70  70  70  80
Temp............53  53  54  54
RH..............93  93  90  90
Surface wnd dir.E   E   E   E
Surface wnd spd.8   8   8   7
Surface wnd gst.12  13  13  13

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers early in
                    the evening. Rain showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........100    99     97     96     96     97
Weather cov.....DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).80     60     60     70     90     90
Temp............54     53     52     52     52     52
RH..............90     89     93     93     93     93
Surface wind....E 7    E 8    SE 8   SE 8   SE 7   E 6
Surface wnd gst.14     16     16     15     13     9

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers in the
                    morning through late in the afternoon. Slight
chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........84 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds around 6 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........97        98        95        92
Weather cov.....DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE    LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).90        90        80        70
Temp............52        54        58        64
RH..............96        96        96        84
Surface wind....E 6G8     SE 6G9    SE 6G12   SE 6G10

$$
Forecaster...Rodriguez
Requested by...MDEM
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2413156.0/LWX
.DELDT 05/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL patrick.kammar@maryland.gov