Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 271301
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
901 AM EDT Sun May 27 2018

...Tropical Storm Warnings in Effect Today for Coastal Areas of
Tampa Bay, the Suncoast and SW FL...
...Storm Surge Watch for the N Nature Coast...
...Locally Heavy Rain And Flooding Possible through Sunday...
...Hazardous Marine And Beach Conditions for the next several
days...

.UPDATE (Rest of today)...
Sub-Tropical Storm Alberto is located about 165 miles southwest of
Tampa Bay and continues to track northward at 15 mph through the
eastern Gulf of Mexico. Radar imagery is showing the outer bands of
this storm continuing to produce scattered rainshowers along the
coastal counties and over the Nature Coast. Gusty winds between 20-
30 knots are also being reported at some of the coastal reporting
stations and buoys offshore. Although we have some scattered storms
over the region, latest WV imagery and HRRR guidance are indicating
a dry notch on the southeast side of Alberto moving into the area
later today. This will produce decreasing rain chances through the
remainder of the day. With that being said, have adjusted POPs
downward to reflect that. Will send out updated zone
forecasts shortly.

&&

.AVIATION...
Tropical storm warnings in effect today for coastal areas with
strong and gusty south-southeast winds with gusts reaching 20-30
knots through the day. Latest radar is showing most of the showers
moving north and west of the terminals. Periods of showers are
possible through the day, so will hold VCSH through the period. Some
MVFR/IFR conditions are being reported this morning, but should
become predominately VFR later this afternoon. No other aviation
impacts expected.

&&

.MARINE...
Tropical storm warnings in effect today with seas of 10-
15+ft, winds over 34kts, and rain squalls. Marine operators should
remain in port until condition improve in the coming days.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  81  76  83  75 /  80  50  70  40
FMY  81  75  84  74 /  60  40  60  50
GIF  81  74  86  73 /  70  40  80  40
SRQ  81  76  81  75 /  70  50  60  50
BKV  82  74  85  73 /  70  40  70  30
SPG  83  76  85  75 /  80  50  70  50

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday evening for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal
     Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

     Flood Watch through Monday evening for Coastal Charlotte-
     Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Hillsborough-
     Coastal Lee-Coastal Levy-Coastal Manatee-Coastal
     Pasco-Coastal Sarasota-DeSoto-Hardee-Highlands-Inland
     Charlotte-Inland Citrus-Inland Hernando-Inland
     Hillsborough-Inland Lee-Inland Levy-Inland Manatee-
     Inland Pasco-Inland Sarasota-Pinellas-Polk-Sumter.

     High Surf Advisory until 6 AM EDT Monday for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal
     Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

     Tropical Storm Warning for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal
     Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal
     Lee-Coastal Levy-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Pasco-
     Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...Tropical Storm Warning for Charlotte Harbor and Pine
     Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to
     Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood
     to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from
     Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa
     Bay waters-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL
     out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon
     Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs
     to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...74/Wynn
UPPER AIR...11/McKaughan
DECISION SUPPORT...57/McMichael


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