Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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848
FNUS71 KALY 171204
FWSALY

Spot Forecast for Comet Rx...APB
National Weather Service Albany NY
804 AM EDT Thu May 17 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will drop south out of Canada today. High pressure
builds in from Canada today and tonight, then east through the
day Friday. The old frontal boundary will then begin lifting
north as a warm front late Friday into Saturday, bringing
increasing chances for rain.

RH will fall to 40 to 55 percent This afternoon. RH will
recover to 60 to 85 percent tonight. RH will fall to 30 to 50
percent Friday.

Variable winds less than 15 mph will become north to northwest
today. North to northwest winds at less than 15 mph continue
tonight.  Winds become east to southeast at 15 mph Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Surface winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......800-1900 ft AGL increasing to 3200-4400 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 3 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
CWR.................MISSING.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........69 percent.
Max humidity........69 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds 7 to 9 mph.
Surface winds.......North winds 7 to 9 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL decreasing to 1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
CWR.................MISSING.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 8 to 9 mph shifting to the east
                    around 8 mph in the afternoon.
Surface winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 9 mph shifting to the east
                    around 8 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 8 to 9 mph shifting to the east
                    around 8 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1100-3000 ft AGL increasing to 3700-4000 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

$$
Forecaster...Thompson
Requested by...Tyler Briggs
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1810193.0/ALY
.DELDT 05/17/18
.EMAIL tbriggs@albanypinebush.org



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