River Forecast
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FGUS53 KKRF 230106
RVFUMO

RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
0104Z Mon Apr 23 2018
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.

:    FORECAST GROUP IS UPRMO

:                ***     EVENING FORECAST     ***

: *****************************************************************
: ***  This forecast includes projected snowmelt due to         ***
: ***  forecasted 6-hour mean temperatures for the next 15 days ***
: *****************************************************************


:*******************************************************************
: *** Please note ... Crest forecasts provided are based on      ***
: *** 15 days of forecast temperatures and should not be assumed ***
: *** to be the absolute crests for the snowmelt season.         ***
: ******************************************************************


: ==> This forecast includes obsd precip & 120 hours of QPF <==


RIVER/STATION            FS     TDY    F O R E C A S T
BIG HOLE RIVER
  MELROSE MT              6.0    3.4   RISE TO NR 7.1 FT 05/02
JEFFERSON RIVER
  TWIN BRIDGES MT 5N     10.0    5.8   RISE TO NR 9.3 FT 05/02
  THREE FORKS MT 3NW      8.0    4.6   RISE TO NR 7.9 FT 05/02
MISSOURI RIVER
  TOSTON TELEMETERING    10.5    6.3   RISE TO NR 8.6 FT 05/02

:__________________________________________________________________

:MELROSE MT - BIG HOLE RIVER     HSA - TFX
:FLOOD STAGE 6.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 5.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 7.5 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.4 FT AT 0015Z ON 0423

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0422           /   3.2 /   3.5 /   3.5
:   0423   /   3.4

: RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE ON 04/29/2018 AROUND 00Z
.ER MLRM8 20180423 Z DC201804230104/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0423:        /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.7
.E2  :0424:/   3.3 /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.6
.E3  :0425:/   3.2 /   3.4 /   3.5 /   3.6
.E4  :0426:/   3.3 /   3.6 /   3.7 /   4.0
.E5  :0427:/   3.8 /   4.0 /   4.2 /   4.8
.E6  :0428:/   4.7 /   4.9 /   5.3 /   5.7
.E7  :0429:/   6.0 /   6.2 /   6.4 /   6.4
.E8  :0430:/   6.5 /   6.6 /   6.6 /   6.6
.E9  :0501:/   6.6 /   6.8 /   6.8 /   6.9
.E10 :0502:/   7.1 /   7.1 /   7.1 /   7.1
.E11 :0503:/   7.1


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0422          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0423  /  0.01
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Apr 23:   0.01  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 120 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0423          /  0.10 /  0.13 /  0.13
:    0424  /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0425  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0426  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0427  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0428  /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 120-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Apr 28:   0.38  inches


:MELROSE MT - BIG HOLE RIVER     HSA - TFX
:LATEST ESTIMATED FLOW 2.52 KCFS AT 0000Z ON 0423

.ER MLRM8 20180423 Z DC201804230104/DH06/QRIFF/DIH6
:Flow Fcst /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0423:        / 2.830 / 2.930 / 2.990
.E2  :0424:/ 3.030 / 3.000 / 2.910 / 2.830
.E3  :0425:/ 2.770 / 2.730 / 2.740 / 2.820
.E4  :0426:/ 2.950 / 3.210 / 3.480 / 3.730
.E5  :0427:/ 4.090 / 4.560 / 4.950 /  5.24
.E6  :0428:/  5.74 /  6.37 /  6.83 /  7.19
.E7  :0429:/  7.72 /  8.29 /  8.65 /  8.82
.E8  :0430:/  9.03 /  9.30 /  9.37 /  9.29
.E9  :0501:/  9.28 /  9.75 /  9.81 /  9.95
.E10 :0502:/ 10.18 / 10.58 / 10.85 / 11.09
.E11 :0503:/ 11.12
:__________________________________________________________________

:TWIN BRIDGES MT 5N - JEFFERSON RIVER     HSA - TFX
:FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 9.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 11.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 5.8 FT AT 0015Z ON 0423

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0422           /   5.3 /   5.4 /   5.5
:   0423   /   5.8

.AR : CREST : TWIM8 20180502 Z DC201804230104/DH12/HGIFFX 9.3
.ER TWIM8 20180423 Z DC201804230104/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0423:        /   6.0 /   6.0 /   6.1
.E2  :0424:/   6.2 /   6.2 /   6.2 /   6.2
.E3  :0425:/   6.2 /   6.2 /   6.1 /   6.1
.E4  :0426:/   6.1 /   6.1 /   6.2 /   6.3
.E5  :0427:/   6.4 /   6.5 /   6.7 /   6.9
.E6  :0428:/   7.1 /   7.2 /   7.4 /   7.6
.E7  :0429:/   7.8 /   8.0 /   8.1 /   8.3
.E8  :0430:/   8.4 /   8.5 /   8.6 /   8.7
.E9  :0501:/   8.7 /   8.7 /   8.7 /   8.7
.E10 :0502:/   8.9 /   9.0 /   9.3 /   9.3
.E11 :0503:/   9.2


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0422          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0423  /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Apr 23:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 120 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0423          /  0.15 /  0.14 /  0.11
:    0424  /  0.03 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0425  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0426  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0427  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0428  /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 120-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Apr 28:   0.43  inches


:TWIN BRIDGES MT 5N - JEFFERSON RIVER     HSA - TFX
:LATEST ESTIMATED FLOW 3.45 KCFS AT 0000Z ON 0423

.ER TWIM8 20180423 Z DC201804230104/DH06/QRIFF/DIH6
:Flow Fcst /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0423:        / 3.633 / 3.687 / 3.841
.E2  :0424:/ 3.990 / 4.097 / 4.149 / 4.139
.E3  :0425:/ 4.080 / 4.001 / 3.933 / 3.881
.E4  :0426:/ 3.871 / 3.911 / 4.029 / 4.229
.E5  :0427:/ 4.471 / 4.732 /  5.07 /  5.47
.E6  :0428:/  5.86 /  6.23 /  6.67 /  7.19
.E7  :0429:/  7.68 /  8.10 /  8.59 /  9.10
.E8  :0430:/  9.50 /  9.76 /  9.98 / 10.19
.E9  :0501:/ 10.29 / 10.29 / 10.28 / 10.30
.E10 :0502:/ 10.71 / 10.88 / 11.05 / 11.11
.E11 :0503:/ 11.38
:__________________________________________________________________

:THREE FORKS MT 3NW - JEFFERSON RIVER     HSA - TFX
:FLOOD STAGE 8.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 7.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 8.5 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 9.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.6 FT AT 0000Z ON 0423

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0422           /   4.3 /   4.5 /   4.6
:   0423   /   4.6

.ER TFKM8 20180423 Z DC201804230104/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0423:        /   4.7 /   4.8 /   5.1
.E2  :0424:/   5.2 /   5.3 /   5.4 /   5.5
.E3  :0425:/   5.5 /   5.5 /   5.5 /   5.5
.E4  :0426:/   5.5 /   5.4 /   5.4 /   5.4
.E5  :0427:/   5.4 /   5.5 /   5.6 /   5.6
.E6  :0428:/   5.8 /   5.9 /   6.1 /   6.2
.E7  :0429:/   6.3 /   6.4 /   6.5 /   6.7
.E8  :0430:/   6.8 /   7.0 /   7.1 /   7.3
.E9  :0501:/   7.4 /   7.5 /   7.6 /   7.6
.E10 :0502:/   7.7 /   7.7 /   7.7 /   7.9
.E11 :0503:/   7.9


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0422          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0423  /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Apr 23:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 120 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0423          /  0.13 /  0.21 /  0.18
:    0424  /  0.05 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0425  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0426  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0427  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0428  /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 120-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Apr 28:   0.57  inches


:THREE FORKS MT 3NW - JEFFERSON RIVER     HSA - TFX
:LATEST ESTIMATED FLOW 2.83 KCFS AT 0000Z ON 0423

.ER TFKM8 20180423 Z DC201804230104/DH06/QRIFF/DIH6
:Flow Fcst /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0423:        / 2.989 / 3.229 / 3.577
.E2  :0424:/ 3.821 / 4.027 / 4.231 / 4.391
.E3  :0425:/ 4.518 / 4.560 / 4.551 / 4.503
.E4  :0426:/ 4.417 / 4.337 / 4.270 / 4.245
.E5  :0427:/ 4.293 / 4.419 / 4.604 / 4.804
.E6  :0428:/  5.05 /  5.40 /  5.81 /  6.19
.E7  :0429:/  6.49 /  6.77 /  7.11 /  7.49
.E8  :0430:/  7.92 /  8.37 /  8.84 /  9.28
.E9  :0501:/  9.70 / 10.06 / 10.37 / 10.60
.E10 :0502:/ 10.77 / 10.89 / 10.95 / 11.35
.E11 :0503:/ 11.52
:__________________________________________________________________

:TOSTON TELEMETERING - MISSOURI RIVER     HSA - TFX
:FLOOD STAGE 10.5 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 8.5 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 11.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 12.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 6.3 FT AT 0000Z ON 0423

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0422           /   5.8 /   6.0 /   6.1
:   0423   /   6.3

.ER TOSM8 20180423 Z DC201804230104/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0423:        /   6.3 /   6.4 /   6.5
.E2  :0424:/   6.7 /   6.7 /   6.8 /   6.8
.E3  :0425:/   6.9 /   6.9 /   6.9 /   6.8
.E4  :0426:/   6.8 /   6.8 /   6.8 /   6.8
.E5  :0427:/   6.7 /   6.7 /   6.8 /   6.8
.E6  :0428:/   6.9 /   7.0 /   7.1 /   7.2
.E7  :0429:/   7.3 /   7.4 /   7.5 /   7.6
.E8  :0430:/   7.7 /   7.9 /   8.0 /   8.1
.E9  :0501:/   8.2 /   8.3 /   8.4 /   8.5
.E10 :0502:/   8.5 /   8.6 /   8.6 /   8.6
.E11 :0503:/   8.6


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0422          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0423  /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Apr 23:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 120 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0423          /  0.23 /  0.26 /  0.20
:    0424  /  0.08 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0425  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0426  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0427  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0428  /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 120-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Apr 28:   0.77  inches


:TOSTON TELEMETERING - MISSOURI RIVER     HSA - TFX
:LATEST ESTIMATED FLOW 8.13 KCFS AT 0000Z ON 0423

.ER TOSM8 20180423 Z DC201804230104/DH06/QRIFF/DIH6
:Flow Fcst /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0423:        /  8.33 /  8.61 /  8.92
.E2  :0424:/  9.25 /  9.51 /  9.70 /  9.83
.E3  :0425:/  9.90 /  9.93 /  9.90 /  9.83
.E4  :0426:/  9.72 /  9.67 /  9.61 /  9.54
.E5  :0427:/  9.49 /  9.51 /  9.61 /  9.76
.E6  :0428:/  9.95 / 10.19 / 10.54 / 10.95
.E7  :0429:/ 11.36 / 11.74 / 12.09 / 12.44
.E8  :0430:/ 12.80 / 13.20 / 13.63 / 14.06
.E9  :0501:/ 14.46 / 14.84 / 15.18 / 15.47
.E10 :0502:/ 15.69 / 15.86 / 15.99 / 16.05
.E11 :0503:/ 16.05

:********************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA -        Hydrologic Service Area
:TFX -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Great Falls, Montana
:BYZ -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Billings, Montana
:GGW -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Glasgow, Montana
:OBS -        Observed
:EST -        Estimated
:M -          Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst -  River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip -     Precipitation
:QPE -        Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF -        Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
: kwl
:...END of MESSAGE...



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